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		<title>Folly Compounding in America: the stuff of broken empires, Part 2</title>
		<link>http://themillercircle.org/2009/04/folly-compounding-in-america-the-stuff-of-broken-empires-part-2/</link>
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		<pubDate>Sun, 12 Apr 2009 16:47:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Robert Miller</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[This article on Folly Compounding is the second on this topic; the first was released in December 2008.  The concept behind these articles got underway early last year (2008), about the time that the sub-prime mortgage disaster had gone beyond warm and was headed to a new thermal high. What was unexpected however, was that [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This article on <strong>Folly Compounding </strong> is the second on this topic; the first was released in December 2008.  The concept behind these articles got underway early last year (2008), about the time that the sub-prime mortgage disaster had gone beyond warm and was headed to a new thermal high. What was unexpected however, was that the new high would go off the charts and require recalibration of our economic instruments. Yet, the election of Obama and the possibility that we might see a reversal of the long-term trend of <strong>Folly Compounding,</strong> has encouraged some revision of this companion  followup. Indeed,  the possibility for some sort of meaningful recovery, now that we have more rational leadership, has encouraged the spawning of a new third component, which is still hatching in the nursery. If anything,  Obama has shown us that we have a long way to go just to get back to the country we had a few years ago and even that one was terribly flawed. Going back forty years, when a truly more equitable society dominated America, gives one the impression that our country of today seems totally foreign to many of us who can remember the earlier era, and in truth, it is.</p>
<p>The cataclysmic economic events of the last few months have renewed my interest in the long-term explanation about how we got to where we are today and why it all happened. Historians like to write about one particular era of history or one politician, usually a President, to insure good book sales,  and most of these historians write to preserve the mythology of America, like cheerleaders who desperately want to keep the false narratives of our past intact, perhaps just modernized a bit, with a new layer added to the multilayer cake of our deceit. Americans have a deep need to believe in a special version of American history and there are plenty of writers to keep nourishing them with the false interpretations on which the current version of America is based. For the author or historian,  it&#8217;s money in the bank if they feed the false narrative, but for those who stray away from the party gospel, sales are likely to be disappointing. A less common historian is the one who attempts to integrate history through a more longitudinal exploration of events, seeking to reveal a more substantive trend that accounts for how the country got to where it is today. This approach is more challenging because it is not a snapshot of an era, but a ponderous collection of lots of snapshots, many of which were never adequately stitched into whole cloth. Sorting fact from fiction is usually a process of deep scholarship. That is why academic historians, who never break the sound barrier of popular publications, provide a more accurate and penetrating account of our own history&#8211;it&#8217;s gratifying to know we have one. Two different accounts, one for popular consumption and the other for historical accuracy, run in parallel and God help us if they ever collide, for it would be like the predicted explosive clash of antimatter colliding with the matter we call America.</p>
<p>It is the rare historian, writing for lay people, that tries  to find a theme of continuity in the archives and discovers some of the ugly truths of our past, followed by the will to write about them. Those kinds of books that run against the accepted grain of history usually settle on the shelves of academia, often published by the academic presses of universities and if they ever see the light of popularity, they are typically drowned out by public outcry giving them a brief respiratory history. Any historian attempting to reveal a more accurate portrayal of American history, has to begin this more exploratory and factual process with a theory or at least a vague conviction, and then he or she must resist the temptation to deviate from the chosen vector, even though you don&#8217;t always end up with the theme that got you started. It is understandable why some historians say there is no history. It&#8217;s because  history is a story seen through the eyes of one writer, who always brings a bias of person place and time to the transcribed events and hopes for a preferred outcome&#8211;maybe a best seller. They too have mortgage payments to meet. So, history is a stack of opinions written by historians whose judgments change with time to adopt contemporary views which serve as the optical lens through which they evaluate history. As readers of history, we are tossed onto the ocean of thermal currents which provide the continuous disruptive influence of our new horizons. For the author of history, the trick is to catch the subject on the cultural upswing, rather than on the somewhat bleaker downside. Timing means a lot. As a result, some figures judged by our contemporary history will rise or fall depending on the ethical yardstick of the  era and the popularity of the viewpoint.  Because Truman started the Cold War, many Republicans later reached out recidivistically to turn him into more of a hero than his actions would merit.  Chalmers Johnson&#8217;s first book of his trilogy <em><strong>&#8220;BlowBack&#8221;</strong></em> had very meager sales until 9/11 hit and suddenly, it became a best seller (I think it was one of the books that Ron Paul suggested Rudy Giuliani should read following one of their Presidential debates during the Republican primary).  Still, there are differences among history writers, even within the same era.  These differences are sufficient for any member of our culture to choose and find resonating evidence for their own version of American history. Having your own private narrative is now within grasp. If you can&#8217;t find your favorite version in a textbook, it will surely show up when Googling. That is one thing the web has done for our culture. It has given stories&#8211;like those propagated by the Swift Boaters during John Kerry&#8217;s run for the Presidency&#8211; a website resource and some sense of plausibility, particularly if you lean in that direction (donations from T. Boone Pickens helped).</p>
<p>Doris Kearns Goodwin (an admitted plagiarist) writes popular history about Presidents and promotes her books as a public cheerleader to keep the American dream  alive and renew the false narratives about contemporary American history. Her subjects are her heroes and she prays at the alter located at the end of the deposit line in the bank.  In contrast, historian Geoffrey Perret in his book <em><strong>&#8220;Commander in Chief&#8221;</strong></em> achieves a more integrated viewpoint, across the presidential spectrum of the Cold War and beyond and describes those Presidents that took us into unwinnable wars (Truman, Johnson and GW Bush) and through this march, Perret gives his readers a different view of these American leaders. He more properly identifies them as confused, naive Presidents who were sucked into the false narrative of America as the dragon slayer engaged in a life and death struggle with the pervasive communist dragon&#8211;the one that McCarthy said could be your next door neighbor. In many ways these three Presidents are victims of America&#8217;s propaganda. That propaganda was supposed to be for public consumption only, not for the political leaders that would follow. But oops, that&#8217;s how <strong>Folly Compounding</strong> becomes self-propagating. James Carroll in his book <em><strong>&#8220;House of War&#8221; </strong></em> provides us with a powerful dialogue, seen through his own eyes, describing how the post-war Pentagon conspired to create and propagate the false narrative about America that we live with today, beginning with the Cold War as the life and death struggle that Americans were asked to believe about their new dilemma in the immediate aftermath of WW II.  That anti-communist narrative,  despite humiliating and falsely identified war experiences in Korea, Vietnam and Iraq, seems to get continuously replenished and updated to preserve America as the &#8220;shining city on the hill,&#8221; the country whose destiny it is to promote justice and save the planet from all forms of evil (while enriching and extending the grip of international corporatism, with new energies devoted to the privatization of water, just as one example of the never ending reach of these international corporations). Perhaps we are witnessing the end of this iteration of America, but it cannot come too soon. The false narrative of America began at the end of WW II. It only took a hand full of men within our government to lurch  us into a new direction that eventually evolved into our current corporatist state and has proven to be the source of our financial ruin: it was the mother of all <strong>Follies</strong>.  This false narrative elevated a party and a political system that eventually created Reaganism, which started us down the pathway to our current set of crises, including the deregulated nightmare of globalization, excessive military spending, unsustainable health care costs, trade imbalances and diminishing income levels for the Middle Class, the epicenter of our creativity.   If we don&#8217;t make these connections and see their initiating events as the mother of present <strong>Follies</strong> and take the cure by replacing our historically false narrative with a more realistic history, we will surely recreate for ourselves sometime in the future, a catastrophe that will look a lot like what we are going through today. Remember that we just finished one stock market bubble and crash in 2001, and now we have a more serious collapse, only seven years later. We let the fixes provided by the New Deal ebb away and returned our economy to the roller coaster ride of boom and bust cycles, whose excursions are rapidly expanding. If we don&#8217;t return to a more sane economy, the one we will have will seem more and more like riding on a roller coaster whose track is a perfect damped to undamped oscillator&#8211;each high and low will get bigger and bigger, until something finally shuts it all down. If we allow these economic excursions to continue growing, I see little chance that the true mother of all <strong>Follies</strong>, global climate change can ever be dealt with to any meaningful degree. We won&#8217;t be able to afford it and maybe we can&#8217;t afford it now&#8211;too many pressing wars.</p>
<p>America&#8217;s false narratives created by <strong>Folly Compounding</strong> decisions in the early aftermath of WW II are like a secret, kept in a vault, waiting for the American maturity to reach a state such that they can accept the real version of what happened to them and why. The real narrative of what happened to America lies in vaults with &#8220;top secret&#8221; stamped on each envelope.  American politicians of today, those few that truly understand our gnarly past,  are afraid to let American citizens know what really happened during WW II and its aftermath that, in reality, have given us the problem set we find on our plate today. We are a country born in war and we continue to use war as our first response to  any challenge. Today, it is not just bad choices about military options that have purged our treasury, but it is also our financial system and our economic mistakes that sucked the wealth out of the middle class to a point where they cannot afford to be the consumers we need to get the economy back to the one we had just a few years ago. From <em>Challenge Magazine </em> &#8220;Today, a male in his thirties earns less after taxes than a male in his thirties in 1970. Wages for women have increased, but women have been closing a historical gap that separates them from male workers and continue to earn 80 percent of what their male counterparts earn. Keep in mind that our wages are no longer the highest in the world; we were the highest in the world&#8230;but that ended thirty years ago. We became the biggest economy in the world with high wages, because high wages created demand without over-borrowing.&#8221; The wage issue is one head of the two-headed monster we created. But we also began generating  <strong>Folly Compounding</strong> from militarism and Reaganism and both have arrived simultaneously on our doorstep, each of which demands a solution. We can no longer brag about America and we can&#8217;t go on until we fix the poorly tuned machine that runs our culture.  But, any solution we apply that doesn&#8217;t address both heads of our problem, our wealth distribution disaster and our excessive military spending,   will only give us marginalized results, fixes at the edges, all distractions from the epicenter of the problem.</p>
<p>Remember when we had a temporary fix from the dotcom collapse in 2001? Does anyone remember the Sarbannes-Oxley Act (SOX) of 2002? It was the law that was passed in response to the dotcom market bubble and crash of 2001, in response to Enron, Worldcom and others who cooked their books to make the company look good for the devious purpose of elevating the stock value of the corporation. Though considered to be a major reform and a fix to the crooked way big corporations were doing business, and  passed overwhelmingly by both houses in Congress, it was completely  irrelevant for preventing the housing bubble and collapse we are currently in: it was too narrowly focused and did nothing to fix the core problems that produced our current fiscal crisis. If we allow Congress to fix the problem of market deregulation once again, without input from the public, we will see band-aid after band-aid applied to our financial system with another market bubble and crash looming in our near future. But have you noticed how these crashes get bigger and bigger? The Savings and Loan bubble and crash of the 1980s had a price tag in the $ billions, whereas our current fiscal crisis is hitting the $ trillion water mark.  It was only seven years between the dotcom crash and the housing crash we are in now.  If we can understand that the Cold War we launched at the end of WW II, with its militarism and protective corporatism, combined with excessive powers given to our president, with a covert army and budgets that Congress did not oversee, we can begin to see a solution that must go way beyond another version of Sarbannes-Oxley, which in reality, was just another band-aid.  The risks are too high for us to settle for serial band-aids, which is what Congress is considering today. What we have to change is the culture&#8211;the culture of corporatism and militarism that grips our society with an iron fist.  It started out in 1945 as a culture of bombs, but evolved into a culture of corporatism and militarism that has turned to feeding on our own society, gaining profits from acts of privatizing government, charging excessive interest rates on housing and credit cards and hiding the true nature of risks in stocks, bonds and the new &#8220;securitized&#8221; bundles of confusion.  The drug bill for Medicare is one example of how high profits for drug companies will give us an unsustainable health care bill not too far down the road. How will we compensate? Our government (yes the Obama government) is now contemplating cuts in Social Security. If so, the drug companies will continue to see record profits while Americans sink and slide towards a third-world status. Companies worldwide are now working on the privatization of water. Because these trends began in America, we have the responsibility to fix them before they fester into permanent lesions on the world economy. As just one small step, we should stop drinking bottled water, for if we continue massive consumption of bottled water, with huge profits from its sales, it will remove the pressure we should be placing on our public water utilities to rigidly insist on high quality water made available for all citizens, based on costs we all share.  There are still millions of people who inhabit this planet that do not have access to decent water, something that is shameful for an economic system that likes to brag about its achievements. The strategy for privatization of water is already gaining foothold in third world countries and newly industrialized ones as well, including India. Can you imagine a natural resource like water to become the source of multinational corporate profits? The corporations blindly think of themselves as providing a good public service.</p>
<p><strong>Folly Compounding</strong> is the concept that when a country makes mistakes, those mistakes get propagated and earn compound interest because they are not recognized as mistakes per se, or, if they are, no one wants to do anything about them because they are too complex or too controversial to appear solvable. The bigger the error, the more it becomes an <strong>Untouchable Folly</strong>. Hence, no corrective actions are put into play until the issues become consuming of the national focus or menacing to the country&#8217;s  future. Postponing a fix for slavery, for example, and the civil war that resulted from it, illustrate how dislocating and destructive  <strong>Folly Compounding</strong> can become, when the fix is put off indefinitely.  Of course, we might never have had a country if we tried to fix slavery when our nation was first stitched together as there&#8217;s no control available to run the experiment.  Sometimes poorly fixing a problem, taking a short cut, or overdoing the fix can add another layer of <strong>Folly Compounding</strong> on top of the problem you are trying to solve.  A good example of stacking new <strong>Follies</strong> on top of old ones is how the onerous peace terms of WW I led directly, twenty years later, to WW II, with a far more devastating effect and a higher toll extracted from all participants.</p>
<p>It is the innate nature of the political process to propagate errors, because fixing them along the way admits that mistakes have been made in the past and that kind of pronouncement usually  means that a political party, the opposite of yours of course,  gets  identified as the cause of the problem, thereby  initiating inter-party friction, national distraction and ultimately precipitating a long smoldering need for retribution. But of course neither party wants to admit that serious mistakes have been made in the past, out of fear that the individual pointing at the errors might get labeled as part of the problem rather than part of the solution&#8211;sort of the pot calling the kettle black. After all, in a two party system, who wants to believe that one party actually wants to destroy the country! Well, ever hear of the Republican Party and their &#8220;starve the beast&#8221; theory of government collapse? The idea behind that concept is that you spin the country into heavy debt, so that it cannot provide the services that you find so odious. The concept was the beginning of Reaganism and remains with us today as one big hangover from GW Bush&#8217;s attempt to recreate Reagan&#8217;s Presidency.  Hasn&#8217;t some of that worked as prescribed? As an example of long-term inter-party paybacks, we can ask what part of the motivation for impeaching Clinton reflected payback for the Democratically controlled Congress that forced Nixon from office, more than two decades earlier?</p>
<p>Of equal importance for understanding <strong>Follies</strong> is the fact that stopping to fix the old mistakes prevents you from working on your own stuff, the new things you promised, the vision that you believe got you elected. Those things by nature need to be worked on first. Indeed, it is often political suicide to continuously look in the rear view mirror, emphasizing the mistakes of the past, so few politicians ever do it.  Even talking about a psychological profile of the present can be politically dangerous, as Carter&#8217;s referral to the &#8220;American malaise&#8221; may have cost him the election against Reagan in 1979, perhaps with the help of the &#8220;October Surprise,&#8221; engineered by officials  in the Republican Party (including perhaps Bush I?). As George Will would say, it&#8217;s just good politics, even if the American prisoners in Iran had to stay captive for a few more months until after the election (the hostages in Iran were released on the day that Reagan was inaugurated as President in 1980).</p>
<p>The great advantage that Obama has over his predecessors, is that he ran on the idea of extinguishing some of our old <strong>Follies</strong>, so his election is the only opportunity since the election of FDR to deal with and fix old problems, primarily because they have precipitated a new crisis that can no longer be ignored.  But, more generally, it is only when our <strong>Follies </strong>of the past burst onto the horizon of the present like an uncontrollable flash flood, a sudden surge of undeniable intensity, that its menacing presence grabs our attention in such a forceful way that it brings the issue front and center as the most  immediate concern, demanding our full attention and challenging our wits. If the <strong>Folly </strong>was only smoldering before, it now becomes an engulfing flame, an  unmistakable  crisis event, riveting our attention, like the grizzly bear who got into the office room and now has to be dealt with before it deals with us: only then do we have a public outrage and fear which leaves us with no choice but to set aside our hoped for priorities and deal with the unleashed <strong>Folly Compounding </strong>issues that, if unchecked, seem to promise cultural enslavement. This disruptive character of <strong>Folly Compounding</strong> usually appears as a financial disaster or a major war looming on the horizon. Bush left us with a Bushel full of these<strong> Follies</strong>, whose true magnitude we have yet to understand, as we are still trying to sort them out and determine their impact;  not all of them have probably been identified. Sometimes, like the current crisis, war and economic disaster go together. Perhaps they are related. FDR got his twin disasters put on his plate in series, first the depression and then WW II.  But Obama has them all in parallel and a different person might just punt, or at least dodge a few of the more onerous <strong>Follies.</strong> No President in our history has ever been called upon to address so many <strong>Folly Compounding </strong>issues, most of which, like health care and Wall Street  have been smoldering and <strong>Folly Compounding</strong> for decades.</p>
<p>The problems we face today seem more like a bundle of major <strong>Follies</strong> all wrapped into a non-tidy giant pile, surrounded and protected by a swarm of ferocious African bees. It seems like it&#8217;s hard to touch the damn thing without getting stung. And if the bees don&#8217;t sting you when you touch the mess, there is the mindless, but ever present press who will do it for you!  What is it about our press that cannot see how the problems we face are those of long duration <strong>Folly Compounding</strong> issues, that cannot be solved without solving the grand dilemma of our culture for the last 60+ years?  What mind-numbing drug keeps their attention span confined to tiny segments of our history&#8211;a few days or weeks allotted for each chunk&#8211;history by chunks, with only the last few given any real importance. We still live in the Grand Illusion of an early narrative of American history. Who is protecting Americans from knowing the true narrative of their history? The false one is propagated like a religion, or maybe it is a substitute religion or maybe even the real thing&#8211;a real religion I mean. Maybe the born-agains need their religion to make it easier to swallow the large capsule of our false history. It is not easily ingested.</p>
<p>Very few components of our culture seem healthy today. Lots of things need fixing. The very fabric of the nation has been torn and like a child learning to walk, we have to learn how to take some seemingly primitive steps all over again. Hopefully we will learn to redo these small steps again much better than we did before, this time with our eyes wide open. About the only things we make these days that other people want is our high tech stuff, but then our own government prevents the sales of these items for fear of contributing to greater sophistication of our enemies and we have a lot of enemies. So, the ships come into our harbors full of stuff, but they leave empty. Sixty years ago, it was just the opposite. That problems needs to be put at the top of the list.</p>
<p>We can also hope that the synapses and neural networks of our brains, that will be called upon to reshape our culture, have sufficient residual plasticity such that we can engage the warped values of our present culture  and mold them into a new one that works for everyone, not just those participating in a giant cultural Ponzi pyramid whose apex serves the upper 1% of our society. We need to replenish our culture and set things right for the first time in 30-40 years. If we go through the pain, we need to see the gain. But, we aren&#8217;t angry enough yet, we&#8217;re not in the streets demanding a new lurching our ship of state.</p>
<p>What got destroyed in the last 30-40 years was an economy that, at one time, roughly from 1945 to the early 1970s,  worked for most people. It wasn&#8217;t perfect, but it had far more equity than the one we have today. At a time when we had a gradual income tax rate and the highest rate on the wealthiest citizens was 91% under the Eisenhower administration, we had a boom economy and our economic pie was divided in a far more equitable way that what we see today. Clearly letting rich people have too much freedom with their money is dangerous to all of us.  Reaganomics replaced that economy that used to work for us,  with one that worked increasingly for the few at the top and, in retrospect, we now  see how it all got started and how the economic  forces that were  unleashed under Reagan&#8217;s two terms in office, started the country on its glide path towards a third world economy for far too many citizens of  America. We arrived at our current state through the process known as  incrementalism, meaning that each step was small enough for us to build up tolerance or adapt, making the next small step more palatable, as the total excursion becomes very large and threatening. Present it all at once and there is no way we would agree to the proposition, but get there in 10,000 steps and it seems to pass through out gut without a wrinkle. Looking back at the magnitude of the tumble we took over the last 30+ years,  we can more clearly see the historic nature of our <strong>Folly Compounding</strong>, and the breathtaking altitude of the fall. If we had maintained Middle Class income levels where they were in 1970, we wouldn&#8217;t have as serious a recession as we are going through because the Middle Class would have more money to behave as consumers and they would not have had to borrow to maintain their consumption levels. Although the decline of the Middle Class began in the 1970s, the first elements of that decline can be traced to events which began at the end of WW II and evolved steadily since then. It&#8217;s just a matter of connecting the dots.</p>
<p>Today, as more clarity reaches into the inner sanctum of our consciousness,  it appears that finally, the sheer weight of our <strong>Follies </strong>over the past60+  years, has grabbed our focus to a degree that fully occupies the attention mechanisms of our brains. Perhaps this is the good thing about facing so many crises at once. Perhaps now we can recognize the depth of our problems and the fact that many long standing <strong>Follies</strong> are at the front of the line, in bad need of identity and repair. We need to address so many things, including our economy, our war costs, empire costs,  health care costs and while doing so, begin to restore our country to the one we thought we had not too long ago. That country, now a distant memory for some, once worked better for most people than what we have today. Many opportunities were presented to us to right the ship along the way, but each time we attempted to deal with one of them, new forces presented themselves to delay our restorative actions. Nowhere was this more apparent than with how the Vietnam war destroyed our greatest domestic President&#8211;LBJ&#8211;and the unraveling of much of his Great Society programs. Medicare, Medicaid and Civil Rights legislation are the great legislative achievements that survived, but LBJ could have done so much more if the Vietnam War hadn&#8217;t destroyed his Presidency.</p>
<p>Our new current President, Barack Obama, will spend his entire Presidency fixing the <strong>Follies</strong> of the past without ever having time to get to his own stuff, the kinds of things he wanted to do when he first decided to run for President. But, we don&#8217;t even remember what those things were, for in the middle of his campaign, the bottom fell out of our culture, even though we think of it as an economic collapse.</p>
<p>Who remembers an America that didn&#8217;t manufacture automobiles? Wasn&#8217;t the auto industry at one time related to a good portion of the jobs in this country and did we ever vote on whether we wanted a &#8220;service economy,&#8221; or, for that matter, do we even know what a service economy is? One thing we do know about the &#8220;service economy&#8221; is that it provides lousy, low wage jobs and curtails workers rights. Our acceptance of a &#8220;service economy&#8221; as an inevitable component to our financial evolution is pure poppycock, and our slide towards that type of economy has been a major <strong>Folly</strong> on its own.  At no other time in our history have we had to deal with such a vast array of <strong>Folly Compounding</strong> issues. Fortunately, we have a young energetic President who might be up to the task of fixing some of the more critical <strong>Follies</strong>, those that are at least palpable.  Perhaps only Abraham Lincoln had a similar kind of confrontation&#8211;a confrontation with past <strong>Follies</strong>.  Shortly after his election, the Civil War started, representing one of the largest and longest <strong>Folly Compounding</strong> blunders in our history: Lincoln dedicated himself to managing and winning that war while freeing the slaves in the process. But it was just a short time after the Civil War  ended that Lincoln was assassinated. His entire presidency was consumed by fixing a single <strong>Folly Compounding </strong>issue, one of sweeping  dimensions. For Lincoln it was a <strong>Folly</strong> of choice that he decided to tackle the slavery problem. He saw the festering wound and knew that it had to be finally fixed. It was not a <strong>Folly</strong> that consumed him after he was in office, as he walked into it with his eyes wide open. It almost seems that Lincoln was born to solve the mother of all American <strong>Follies</strong> of that time&#8211; slavery in America. In exchange for his service, we deservedly generated a tableau of mythology about Lincoln and his Presidency. Perhaps we will look back on Obama&#8217;s presidency and acknowledge that it seems like he was born to solve our new <strong>Follies</strong> and the <strong>Folly Compounding</strong> interest created by them. If so, we picked an able man and hopefully a good President. He will need the energy of his youth and wisdom that is almost out of reach for his age. I think we know that much already. But whether he or anyone can do enough things and do them well,  to avoid the distractions that will reduce his efficiency, remains as his greatest challenge, and ours too. Right now,  I think few people would trade places with Obama.  You might notice however,  that Obama doesn&#8217;t have the same friends each day. Some go off the ranch to criticize him for one thing, then come back onto the ranch for dinner. Contemporary politics are like that and, after all, we are all economists. We all have an opinion of what we should do economically. That&#8217;s what Wall Street will do to you. Today, however,  most of us are Keynesians. Unfortunately, we also have a large number of Democrats and Republicans who practice &#8220;Military Keynesianism.&#8221; There will be a major political battle over canceling the F-22 fighter jet, a cold war jet that was designed to pit against Soviet jets. But, when this plane was first introduced, the Soviet threat had disappeared, but the jets continued to be manufactured and Lockheed continued to make $ billions through the standard method of weapons procurements&#8211;you bid low and let the cost overruns pick up the slack in the bid.</p>
<p>With the election of Barack Obama, we are beginning to see a national leader who has been forced to deal with a whole host of <strong>Follies</strong>. He has forced all of us to look through the rear view mirror, although we need to look a little further down the road behind us to fully visualize the distant past that initiated the long smoldering events that culminated in our current set of crises. It seems that Obama got elected precisely because he stated his political objectives of fixing overdue <strong>Compounded Follies</strong>, though he probably didn&#8217;t think he would have quite so many to deal with when he got elected. But, at long last, perhaps we have a President who is willing to call things by their right name and blame those forces that created our current mess and hopefully develop a consensus about the guilty party and their collective actions of national destruction. He&#8217;s not there yet. He&#8217;s still getting his sea legs and no one has yet been daring enough to mention that the mother of all expenses is our military spending, which is 1/3 of our budget (it&#8217;s actually far more than that because of hidden expenses, such as the Department of Energy that runs our nuclear arms program&#8211;Chalmers Johnson puts our defense spending closer to $ 1.1 trillion). What&#8217;s more, military spending does not stimulate the economy to evolve in a usefully, progressive way. It is a stagnant form of consumption and should be contrasted with spending on research to improve energy efficiencies.  Solving the military spending issue will be more difficult than solving health care and the latter is first up on the can-do list for the country.</p>
<p>We are finally beginning to see that the range of these neglected <strong>Follies</strong> touches every aspect of our lives with an iron grip.  The excessive motility that we feel surging through our gut, mediates such a strong sensation of discomfort, that it grabs our attention and makes us wonder whether we have seen all the <strong>Follies</strong> on the list&#8211;all those that need to be dealt with, or whether others have yet to be discovered. We know this is the year of crisis. We shudder to think that  it might turn out to be the year of further crisis discovery as well. Are we going to be given all the bad news in drip form, through an I-V?   The daily acts of discovery and those of the recent past have awakened us to the possibility that more things are out there. We notice for one thing, we have had to recalibrate our disaster scale. You might remember the savings and loan scandal of the 1980s. For that scandal, our scale was in the $ billions, but for this catastrophe, you might note that we are using the $ trillion scale. Have you recalibrated your instruments?</p>
<p>Despite the misery index remaining high, there is a strong sense that we have seen this happen before; it was transmitted to us through the lore of our parents and when it did happen in the 1930s, we met the challenge and gained prosperity, but it required good people with strong wills and hopefully we have some of those people in place today, beginning with our new President. In the 1930s we took a small government and made it much bigger. Today we have a much larger government but it has lost its focus, such that it serves primarily very narrow interests&#8211;it&#8217;s the Predator State of James K. Galbraith. Perhaps this time around, we are less naive, less gullible and more visionary about the difference between a good solution and a bad one, about avoiding solutions that don&#8217;t start another round of <strong>Folly Compounding</strong>, by merely kicking the can down the street. But you can&#8217;t change your government overnight with a new President. The government he acquired is on autopilot, still doing the kinds of things that Bush set in place. Obama has to be forced to go down new roads he would not ordinarily venture into without constant public demand and pressure. As far as debt is concerned, it is worth remembering that at the the close of WW II, the country had a debt that was about 130% of GDP and the emergence from the war, thanks to government programs like the GI Bill, the growth of labor unions, investments in research and higher education, all provided a long period of growth and prosperity, where the growth outgrew the debt. The new president is trying to replicate that pattern by rebuilding our economy into something new, one that will produce a significant growth with new economic tentacles that, once again, will hopefully allow us to outgrow the debt created by this undertaking. We owned our own debt in 1945, but today our debt is largely owned by other countries, including China. Ironically, the current economic downturn, according to Paul Krugman,  has increased the savings rate of Americans which is in turn helping to finance this new round of public debt. No one knew whether the end of WW II would lead to prosperity or a return to economic despair. But the key to our recovery was that of creating a prosperous Middle Class, through education and government programs like the GI Bill. The root of our creativity is found within this vibrant Middle Class, so that the replenishment of their prosperity will mean a bonanza of new ideas leading to a more creative type of  growth. To make this work, out consumerism will have to be shifted to planetary salvation items and to make that work, we will need vast improvements in our education system and how we finance education. But, to make it all work, it will probably take more investment than what we have made to date and it is unclear whether the political capital exists to make this new economy work for all of us like it should. FDR&#8217;s strategy prolonged the depression because he didn&#8217;t spend enough. Will we, in the end, do the same?</p>
<p>The current series of <strong>Follies</strong> are not just those of our financial system, but in the quality and pay of the jobs that we let get away. We need to recapture manufacturing. But we gave away the toys and plastics and bicycles and a lot of electronics  to Japan, China and South Korea, so we have to be far more inventive than we ever have been before. The world at the close of WWII was devastated and shattered, except for the United States, as we took advantage of a non-level playing field. Today that same field is far more level and there are many signs that we allowed our advantages to dissipate through focusing on the wrong set of problems.  For every $ we spent on increasing American military hegemony abroad, we diminished our domestic economic vitality at home. Now we have to get a little more creative on the high tech side and build a new economy based on saving the planet. Maybe then we will have something that China wants to buy.  An objective like that will get rid of giant <strong>Folly Compounding</strong> and get us back to mini <strong>Folly Compounding</strong> which is easier to deal with. Subtle advantages or disadvantages in trade policy, if corrected soon are the stuff of mini <strong>Follies</strong>.  Spending all your resources on the military, with more than 650 bases extended throughout the world&#8211;that&#8217;s the stuff of giant <strong>Folly Compounding</strong> and you may notice that the size of the military budget is not yet remotely present in the national dialogue. The most recently announced changes in military spending are a shift in the military budget emphasis, not a reduction.</p>
<p>The <strong>Follies</strong> that are demanding a solution today, didn&#8217;t begin yesterday, or with GW Bush, or even with Ronald Reagan or Jimmy Carter, though each of them contributed to the altered state of our economy and income distribution. The great dismantling of  FDR&#8217;s America began shortly after his death in 1945 and eventually led to Reaganism which was the beginning of the end of regulatory practices in our financial community, the termination of usury laws, the demise of labor unions  and the beginning of huge budget deficits that allowed  the Republicans to &#8220;starve the beast,&#8221; and, in the process,  destroy America&#8217;s social contract.</p>
<p>The <strong>Follies</strong> we face today, and we all know there are lots of them, have their origins at the end of WW II, in which a gigantic lurch in our view of the world and how we would face it, was newly and sharply formulated and promptly implemented, penetrating deep into our culture with a seemingly irreversible thrust that permeated our nuclei and changed the American DNA.  This new world view was an ad hoc viewpoint created by the naivete and poor leadership that suddenly emerged on the death of FDR. Immediately after his death, the emergence of a new hard line attitude towards the Soviet Union took shape, and it was this new attitude that would shape our future course, help to destroy the Soviet Union and secondarily render the United States into a confused, bitterly divided and impotent country. If you ask yourself the question that, after WW II, we supposedly turned ourselves into the Juggernaut of the world as a military power and yet how many wars did we actually win since then? Remember Korea, Vietnam, Iraq and where are we headed in Afghanistan, where 80% of the Pakistanis do not want the American presence in their country? Why do we want to stabilize a country of 30 million, while destabilizing a country of 175 million?</p>
<p>The new Post-war cultural format of dividing the world into two camps, the good guys and the commies, turned out to be an easy sell in America because of the public perception that Americans have about their own country as the  &#8220;shining city on the hill.&#8221; If our leaders are asking us to do this it must be right, it must be part of our great American heritage to go down this new path, even though it scares the hell out of us, with atom bombs and hydrogen bombs and Russian bombers.  Perhaps today,  the shining city model of America is coming to an end, at least as far as the internal model to pursue is concerned. If so, the narrative that replaces it can only  serve the national interests if the entire panoply of the national  arrogance and miscues of the last 60+ years is fully understood and recognized for the impact that it had on us and the destructive influence it had on our government and our social contract.</p>
<p><strong>Folly Compounding</strong> exists all around us in the form of an economic meltdown, lack of an adequate broad, health care system, a complex of military-industrial waste, medical-industrial waste and stagnation of the earning power of the Middle Class. And these are just for openers. The social contract that was established in the face of the Great Depression under FDR, has been shattered by thirty years of Reaganism and globalization, which is a euphemistic way of describing wealth transfer from the middle and lower classes to the rich. It&#8217;s as if we are taking money away from workers at home to subsidize low wages of Chinese workers. In China, WalMart is still trying to get Chinese wages lowered further to reduce labor costs and increase profits. If you look at the labor conditions in China, you realize that &#8220;labor camps&#8221; like the ones we had for blacks after the civil war are a good description of the conditions that many Chinese workers live under once they come to the big industrial centers.  One could begin this story by also talking about globalization and do so by mentioning that no single country that experienced economic expansion into a global, Western style economy, did so under the banner of free trade&#8211;everyone one of them, including Japan, South Korea and China, established their wealth by the same pathway we did&#8211;through manufacturing coupled to protected markets and regulated trade. Those countries in South America that went through the &#8220;free market&#8221; transition saw their country transformed into one of income stagnation for the Middle Class, income decline for the poor, and huge prosperity for the wealthy with the emergence of American companies who bought and sold the nationals. The introduction of this type of &#8220;free market&#8221; economy was only made possible through the &#8220;Shock Doctrine&#8221; of capitalism that Naomi Klein talks about in her book, with the IMF in full compliance for the economic changes that each country had to go through to get loans.  For the United States, it was the design of a global military hegemony that cracked the domestic code at home and progressively gave away our candy store.  Of course, that is only part of the story. Along the way to this brave new world, Americans were asked to give up their constitutional  rights, without ever fully recognizing what was being shattered in the process. With such a large and growing military, it was only natural that we would view our international problems as military problems, a view point that is unlikely to change, or will only change with a huge political fight about priorities and the causes of terrorism. As we became a more militaristic country, the roots of transparency in our government were replaced by secrecy and the  &#8220;classified&#8221; government stamp became a common way to prevent the public from knowing about embarrassing moments, all of which were described as necessary and fundamental for protecting our threatened nation.  Chalmers Johnson in his trilogy of books about the CIA and our military empire, a person who has inside knowledge of CIA operations, claims that the classification of information by the CIA is mostly to cover up embarrassing excesses of the agency. The process of surrendering our rights as citizens over the past 60+ years has become so routine and axiomatic that we no longer recognize the forces at work that have  precipitated these sea changes in our democratic system. Many who look with some insight into our strained culture of today wonder whether we are simply one terrorist attack away from a military dictatorship, with the new NorthCom of the military ready and waiting for instructions to begin policing the entire country under martial law.</p>
<p>Our military strategy of containment against the Soviets, led to reshaping the American corporation into what it is today, with the giant multinational corporations living under a shield of indifference towards the living conditions at home and the plight of workers in America. After all, multinationals don&#8217;t really have a home, perhaps just a place of origin and current residence, which is meaningless for their business model. Our militarism became  inseparable from our corporatism: they are now tightly bundled in a seamless package of military hardware, training foreign troops and mercenaries in America and the obligatory purchase of American made weapons and jet fighters. Hot money travels around the world destabilizing the currencies of countries, pushing them into a fiscal crisis for which they need an IMF or World Bank loan to help them right their own ship. Yet, we allow our own corporations and hedge funds to produce these destabilizing events, for in the end, there are huge sums of money to be made. Ending the Cold War had very little impact on our military expenditures or the size of our military reach. Global military hegemony was our objective after the end of WW II created by the U.S. fabrication of the Cold War with the Soviets. As soon as the Cold War was over, we saw how our global military empire has expanded through NATO and other alliances, such as we strongly bonded with Israel, even to the exclusion of our own interests in the Middle East. Though our global hegemony is beginning to unravel in some places, like South America, and perhaps Iraq, we continue to pursue the same strategy and will not stop that approach until our financial collapse makes it impossible to initiate the old reflexes.</p>
<p>Containment gave cover for the multinational corporatist state and the &#8220;predator state&#8221; of the modern era. It was far too easy to establish Corporatist America: our country will remain in this state until we forcefully demand a return to better days, when clarity of mission seemed so much more in evidence. The time for full citizenship activism is here. We finally have a President in the form of Barack Obama who will listen, but we need to dramatically grab his attention.  A national &#8220;New Social Contract Day,&#8221; in which we all take to the streets with our pitchforks in hand should work for openers.</p>
<p>We live in a government today that has gone way beyond the Old Republican insistence of  <em>Laissez-faire</em><strong> </strong>into the terminal stages of Reaganism, in which the U.S. Government has become what economist James K. Galbraith refers to as the &#8220;Predator State.&#8221; It is this Corporatist America that has fused its profit motives with control of our government that most clearly defines the present iteration of our country and it has been consumerism by the middle class that has served as the primary narcotic that allowed this transition to go  smoothly, attended by very little debate.  It is the most prevalent form of cultural opium in the country today. But, despite the high level of the misery index readout and the fear that we may have to once again recalibrate the scale of our disaster, we still have a chance to save the country and return it to the one we used to have, the one that is now a somewhat distant memory. We have a President who might be able to do this, but it will only happen with great public enthusiasm and boisterousness for change.</p>
<p><strong>Connecting the early dots. </strong>America started its own version of continental drift or <strong>Folly Compounding (FC) </strong>at the end of WW II, when, without warning, a dramatic shift in political power allowed the new President, Harry Truman,  to assume authority greatly in excess of what our constitution allowed. The main loss to our constitutional authority was created with the formation of the CIA and the black budgets of the military. Our constitution specifically states that Congress must review the budget, but these new federal agencies, under the control of the President, have never been publicly reviewed or discussed and their operations have been highly protected in the name of &#8220;national security.&#8221; We still do not know the exact funding level of the CIA, or the resources that go into the black budgets of the military or what that money is used for in any detail. All we know is that past performance with all the CIA blowbacks have dramatically increased the size of our military budget to engage in wars and base deployments, the full story of which has never been revealed. The CIA effectively  gave the President a covert army which carried out many military-style operations that generated  highly embarrassing revelations when they were revealed and left America with an odd understanding of its own history: while Americans were denied an understanding of what was done in their name in practically every country in the world, including those of our allies, the indigenous people against whom our actions were carried out, had no doubt who did what and the seeds were sewn for the &#8220;blowbacks&#8221; that are with us still today, the most obvious of which is 9/11. Today we have a unique feature of American culture: more people living outside the U.S. know the relevant, post-war history better than most Americans. Americans have fallen victims as a country to one that has been denied knowledge of its own history. Perhaps that is the ultimate in <strong>Folly Compounding</strong>&#8211;the lack of knowledge about the very events that are knocking on the door for solutions that we really don&#8217;t have or won&#8217;t entertain because we don&#8217;t know for sure that we did the things of which we are being accused. We don&#8217;t know, but they do.</p>
<p>Last year I was in Costa Rica with my wife Rosemary. We took a tour of one of San Jose with a guide, together with several other Americans.  When our guide was asked superficial questions about the relationship between Costa Rica and the United States, he give chrome-polished responses that made Americans feel good about their country. But, if you asked him privately about the history of the US and Costa Rica, he had a well full of knowledge about the Iran-Contra era and illegal bases that the U.S. established on Costa Rica&#8217;s northern region, without ever getting permission from the government of Costa Rica. Here was an individual, our tour guide, who knew far more about the role the U.S. played in South American countries than any American present, including me. I learned a lot about American interventions in Costa Rica just listening to him and later checked to see if I could corroborate his stories, most of which I found to be true, while the others I was unable to gather sufficient information to make a judgment. But, his fund of knowledge was not unusual. As Costa Ricans often say, they tend to like Americans, but not the American government.</p>
<p>It was under Truman&#8217;s watch that the early shape of America&#8217;s future was put into play. Truman was an innate hardliner on foreign affairs, particularly towards Russia, but a more liberal Democrat on social issues; he was a Missouri &#8220;buck stops here&#8221; kind of guy who would learn the hard way that he couldn&#8217;t have it both ways: letting in the hardliners to dominate his post-war foreign policy would let the very people in that didn&#8217;t give a damn about his domestic social policies and aspirations. That mistake would cost him his highest priority domestic objective&#8211;a single payer national health care system.  Indeed,  Truman left office puzzled and disappointed that the hard-liners had labeled his health insurance plan, which seemed like a no-brainer to him, as &#8220;socialized medicine,&#8221; the death knell for any program so labeled in that era, given the hardline attitudes that were drumming up support to confront the Soviets as an evil empire. So right away, right out of the starting gate, we turned down a health care plan and substituted it with a patch work of programs that would eventually create the medical-industrial complex that generated huge profits for some, but insufficient health care for much of the nation,  leaving 47 million Americans uninsured, as of 2009. The National Academy of Sciences estimates that 20,000 people die each year because they do not have access to medical care. Some of these stories are heart-breaking and have appeared on <strong>PBS&#8217;s</strong> <strong>Frontline</strong> in recent weeks. In one of our greatest <strong>Follies</strong>, that of choosing military containment over health care, we encouraged the development of a health care system that is unsustainable in its present form. It is one of the top priorities to get fixed: let&#8217;s hope that for the first time in our history we fix it and do it well. I think if Obama had campaigned on the slogan &#8220;Medicare for All&#8221; as Robert Kuttner has suggested, he would have been elected with a huge plebiscite, more than just a good sized victory! In many ways Obama is too cautious, uncertain about the meaning of his political victory and still afraid to confront the neoconservatives.</p>
<p>Truman was a dedicated American who loved the military, but was completely naive about the world around him and very untested as an international leader.   His selection as vice president for FDR&#8217;s last election run in 1943, was achieved by the hard liners of the party who feared that then vice president Henry Wallace had leanings that were too favorable towards the Russians in the post-war period. FDR had talked about a warm postwar relationship with &#8220;uncle Joe&#8221; (Joseph Stalin) but the hardliners were infected with anticommunist bias; they feared that Russia had become a superpower as a result of the war and was aggressively pursuing a takeover of the Eastern European countries (many of whom had invaded Russia during the war).  It was hard line pressure that helped  force Truman onto the ticket, displacing Wallace, who later ran as a Liberal/Progressive candidate for the presidency in 1948, but came in a distant third. One factor that determined Wallace&#8217;s defeat was his socialist leanings, as the hardliners were trying to sell the country on the communist threat that was all around us and Wallace was too far left to avoid that label. The selection of Truman as FDR&#8217;s running mate in 1943, insured that hardline attitudes would assume the Presidency if FDR died in his last term, which many party members felt was likely. Roosevelt looked terrible in 1943. He looked ashen in his face, smoked excessively, had high blood pressure and was in congestive heart failure. But, somehow he dug deep down into his reserves to try and find the energy to finish the job and live through to the end of the war. Eleanor Roosevelt in particular was looking forward to the end of the war, with her husband still at the helm. She hoped that with the war concluded, FDR could begin setting right many of the social injustices in America she had witnessed through her extensive travels which had given her a unique life outside of the normal political life of a President&#8217;s wife. On her plate were issues such as poverty and racial divide. But, Roosevelt lived only until April of 1945, just a few months after the beginning of his record fourth term. His death and the rapid transition to the Truman presidency may have been the single biggest tragedy for the postwar nation, though it has yet to be recognized as such. We are still too romantic about our history. On the other hand, Jeffrey Perret&#8217;s book <strong>&#8220;<em>Commander-in-Chief</em>&#8220;</strong> goes a long way towards removing the romanticism from the presidency, replacing it with a dash of cold water in our face through a little reality testing about Truman, Johnson and G.W. Bush. One the hardliners had a foothold on the postwar course of our country, they began to shape social policies. The ultimate irony was found with LB Johnson, whose Presidency was one of great domestic progressivism, large parts of which became unraveled by his war in Vietnam, which he pursued believing that the Vietnamese were nothing more than agents of the Soviets. He was so paranoid about the mounting demonstrations against his presidency that he insisted on the FBI finding the connections between student protests and Russian agents and was frustrated when told that no such relationship existed. Johnson pursued a costly war because he swallowed our post-war mythology about the Soviets wanting to dominate the world. It was as if the first generation of hard line Republicans and Democrats created the Soviet threat and the second and succeeding generations actually believed it. Johnson was one of those&#8211;he hated communism and the Soviets he thought were responsible for threatening America.</p>
<p>Truman, who had never been brought into FDR&#8217;s inner circle, knew little about the policy discussions that were taking place at the time that FDR suddenly died in April, 1945. He did not know for instance  about the Manhattan project which produced the atomic bomb, despite the fact that the project was nearing its completion.  It is unclear why the Vice President was kept so peripheral to FDR&#8217;s political agenda, but then again, it was a short period of time. FDR also kept Truman at arms length during the political campaign of 1943 and Truman was surprised and disappointed that he didn&#8217;t have a campaign role of any significance.  But, within weeks of FDR&#8217;s death, Truman had started to put his hard line brand on foreign policy issues and did an abrupt turnabout in dealing with Stalin and the Russians, beginning with the issue over Poland. When the Germans opened up their second front by attacking Russia in 1942, then Senator Truman was quoted as saying &#8220;good, now we will have Germans Killing Russians and Russians killing Germans.&#8221;   He had adopted the hard line attitude towards the Russians because it was regionally endemic to do so and it was immediately apparent when he became president that he was going to tilt the country in a new direction: he was going to lurch our ship of state in a way that had never been done before.  This new direction was, not surprisingly, dominated by the military and individuals, such as James Forestall, who became the first secretary of defense after the war under Truman: he  committed suicide in 1949 by jumping out of the 13th floor of a psychiatric ward in the Bethesda Naval hospital. Many of the emerging militarists that came into authority right after the war  were  in their decision-making capacity only because of the war, not through the electoral process. It was the weakness and inexperience of Truman that allowed these people to convert their private views into public policy.  For that reason, their support of hard line attitudes against the Soviets basically turned the clock back to viewing communism as a mortal enemy to our capitalist system, reaffirming many of the attitudes that had permeated the country during WW I (especially during the Bolshevik revolution, when we sent American troops to fight on Russian soil, in support of the White Russians)  up until the beginning of WW II. It was at the onset of WW II that we had to recognize  Russia as an ally, odious as it might be to some. The two countries were strange bedfellows.  The more liberal voices left over from the FDR administration, including Henry Wallace,  were pushed to the sidelines under Truman. James Byrnes, who became Secretary of State under Truman was a hardliner who made sure that, once successfully developed, the atom bomb would be used against Japan.</p>
<p>One cannot underestimate the importance of the atomic bomb for promoting the cultural lurch that Truman put us through. The sudden availability and use of the atom bomb as our &#8220;gadget&#8221; for ending the war against Japan, gave us a new weapon. Initially, our military and political leaders regarded the atomic bomb as simply another weapon in the conventional arsenal of weapons, a center piece for the long struggle against the Soviets and their expansionist attitudes towards the rest of the world. The atom bomb was followed by the much more powerful hydrogen bomb and the two together became the fixation center of what we thought would give us long-term hegemony over the Russians. Leslie Groves, the army general in charge of the Manhattan project, argued that the inclusion of the bomb as part of our arsenal would give us a &#8220;40 year lead over the Russians who couldn&#8217;t build a decent jeep.&#8221; Most scientists working on the Manhattan project at the time thought it would take 5-7 years for the Russians to get their own version of the bomb. While Groves represented the military side of the Manhattan program, it was physicist Robert Oppenheimer who directed the scientific and technical aspects of the project until its completion. Later on, by inserting his objections to the development of the hydrogen bomb and trying to warn the country about the dangers of an arms race, he would be censored and removed from influence on government military policies. This was another American <strong>Folly</strong> that is now coming home to roost, for Oppenheimer&#8217;s elimination opened an unfettered path to the beginnings of the giant military-industrial complex that Eisenhower warned us about, despite the fact that Eisenhower himself had contributed to that development. With Oppenheimer out of the way, the arms race with the Soviets could begin in earnest and, as the Soviets detonated their atom bomb, followed by the hydrogen bomb, the race was on to get away from bomber delivery to missile delivery followed by  MIRVs and the weaponization of space.</p>
<p>To cement the public attitudes about the need for the Cold War, one cannot overemphasize the importance of George Kennan. He was a member of the Foreign Service, stationed in Moscow at the end of WW II.  Like many Americans, he was instinctively an anti-communist and viewed Soviet Communism as a source of evil and the center piece to elevate his own visibility within diplomatic circles. To this end, he sent the &#8220;Long Telegram&#8221; falsely elevating the Russian intentions about world domination, portraying the Russians as the future source of a &#8220;messianic apocalypse&#8221; and outlining his concept of &#8220;containment.&#8221; This telegram sent a shock wave through Washington. James Forestall, an Admiral in the Navy saw in Kennan a kindred spirit that could be useful for his own strategies in getting Truman to lurch the ship of state. It was Forestall, a knee jerk anticommunist, whose wife thought that the whole family was being followed by communists,  who had encouraged Truman into his early confrontation with Molotov only weeks after FDR died. Many historians look at the Molotov-Truman confrontation as the beginning of the Cold War. Forestall collaborated with George Kennan to expand his Long Telegram into an article published in 1947 in the journal <em>Foreign Affairs</em>, under  the psuedonym &#8220;X.&#8221; This single article probably had more to do with generating the Cold War than any other. It alarmed Washington and was taken as the gospel about the Soviet intention in dominating the world and spreading the evils of communism to the four corners of the globe. It was, as author James Carroll states in his book &#8220;<em><strong>House of War&#8221;</strong></em> &#8220;the foundational U.S. mistake of Cold War thinking.&#8221; It did not properly distinguish between nationalism and the communist rhetoric of world domination, which was, if anything meant for home consumption. Russia had just been through the most devastating war in its history, with 20 million dead, factories and production dislocated, cities demolished and huge sectors of the country experiencing starvation. Russia was in no position to begin hostile actions against anyone. In fact, Russia was demobilizing, something that the authors of &#8220;X&#8221; did not consider. But &#8220;X&#8221; achieved something that the Long Telegram did not.  When Kennan described &#8220;containment&#8221; he was referring to diplomatic containment, not military containment. But, of course Forestall took his message to mean both and for that reason, a stamp of permanence would be placed on that document as the rationale for the Cold War&#8211;it would include both diplomatic and military containment efforts.  Later George Kennan, taken into the Princeton Institute by Oppenheimer, would denounce article &#8220;X&#8221; as one which was used to advocate something he did not believe in&#8211;the need for a military component to the containment policy. Even Truman&#8217;s Secretary of State Byrnes was troubled by the confrontational approach that was being hatched by Forrestal and Kennan.  But, it was too late. The die had been cast, Truman sided with Forrestal and the Cold War had begun. But the Cold War did not change any borders. When it ended, the line demarcating the arrival of the Russian armies and the U.S. and British forces remained exactly where is was at the end of WW II. What then did the Cold War bring us?</p>
<p>Early during the development of the atomic bomb, several scientists wanted to share with the Russians the information on the bomb, and have oversight given to the United Nations. Russia it was argued was one of our allies and should be a partner in the development of atomic technology. Of course, the military and political leaders of the country  refused to carry out such a plan, as they conceived of a different strategy.  Once the &#8220;bomb&#8221; was safely in the arsenal, the American planners thought they had a near permanent lead over the Russians, and that the weapon itself would guarantee hegemony over them on a more or less permanent basis. The two Japanese targets for our two atom bombs, Hiroshima and Nagasaki, were not selected by Truman, but by Groves and to his dying day Truman insisted that both cities were military targets; while these cities did have military troops stationed on them for defensive purposes, the bomb was targeted for the city center, not the military site. The two bombs led to rapid surrender by the Japanese, though they were allowed to retain symbolic leadership by their emperor, their only precondition for surrender before the bombs were dropped. Until the two atom bombs were used, the war against the Japanese homeland had been carried out by the air force, with fire bombing tactics designed  to kill as many civilians as possible. The atom bomb was dropped as a signal to the Russians and Groves admitted as much to the scientists working on the Manhattan project sometime before its completion. There were many attempts by scientists to end the Manhattan project after Germany had lost the war, but Groves managed to thwart those efforts and preserve military control over the weapon. Truman was the captive of the military in terms of strategy for using the new weapon, yet some generals, such as Eisenhower, were against dropping the bomb on Japanese cities. He had seen the carnage of war up close, something air force generals never get to visualize.</p>
<p>Following Truman,  succeeding Presidents have been less and less encumbered by Congress and over time, they have learned that a war footing for the country, a perpetual war state or threat of war, ideally positioned the President in such a way that  he is largely independent of Congress because of the Commander-in-Chief clause of our constitution: under a permanent war footing, based on burgeoning militarism, even a President&#8217;s funding demands typically received little scrutiny from Congress. This new environment was initially created by the threat of an everlasting conflict created by dividing the world into two&#8211;us and the commies. The last time that any President asked Congress to declare war was FDR and WW II. Truman&#8217;s war in Korea was a &#8220;police action&#8221; and no President since FDR has requested a declaration of war for any one of the many conflicts we have had since. In a way, Congress didn&#8217;t mind capitulating because of the presumed titanic nature of the struggle which primae facia demanded secrecy, covert armies, all supported by the black budgets of the CIA and the military. Congressional authority was cumbersome and when you are faced with a cunning enemy, someone that might be your next door neighbor, you needed to have a body of authority that could make quick decisions. You might also note that Bush&#8217;s &#8220;War on Terror&#8221; was designed to be a war without end, designed to confront a human emotion. Fortunately, Barack Obama has officially ended that war and started his own, more limited view of our objectives in the Middle East. Up until the new policy decisions of Obama, we were surely headed for a state of permanent war that Orwell effectively characterized in <em><strong>&#8220;1984&#8243;</strong></em>&#8211;only the timing was a bit off.  Bush&#8217;s intention of propagating a never ending war to align the people in favor of the new robber barons of the culture&#8211;Enron, Haliburton, Lockheed Martin, together with Blackwater, the latter of whom could make a pretty good impression of Hitler&#8217;s Brown Shirts, as they roam the streets of their assignments with impunity from prosecution. Germany in the 1930s? We are partway there&#8211;read Naomi Wolf&#8217;s articles on American fascism for a little cold water in your face.  Germany in the 1930s; many examples of Ponzi investment schemes such as that of  Bernie Madoff, whose scheme is not altogether different from that of Enron and the economic bubbles that will follow one after the other, now that the principle of Federal bailout for largess has been clearly established. None of this could happen today, if congress had not sold out so willingly and completely to start the imperial presidency through abdication of their constitutional responsibilities, such as reviewing the Federal budget. But many other constitutional freedoms have also been abandoned in favor of state control. The new Department of Homeland Security seems more like a national police force that treats demonstrators at political conventions as if they were terrorist. The introduction of secrecy and devious international schemes to manipulate or topple governments, quickly acquired its true nature and served as the secret American Mantra for our foreign policy:  from Guatemala to Iran to Vietnam to Chile, our policies were always those of supporting hard line authoritarian governments as long as they were against communism. But, of course, we had an economic subscript to all these interventions, so the profit motive was part and parcel of our foreign policy. We supported insurgencies that would topple Democratically elected governments.  And, this war on terror will be difficult for Obama to eliminate from the military roster. His declaration to end the use of  the term &#8220;war on terror,&#8221; and restrict his actions have given us the prospects of a fresh start on this theme, but these are only prospects. They haven&#8217;t reached the substance of reality. Indeed if we could somehow generate a &#8220;fresh start&#8221; it would mean putting our ship of state into reverse and going back to where we were before 9/11&#8211;a still highly militaristic culture with a massive military budget and a long list of military hardware that goes all the way back to the Cold War.</p>
<p><strong>Excessive Presidential Power. </strong>The primary reason for excessive presidential power began with the false titanic struggle we created against communism. We entered into this struggle without a significant dialog or debate: we never voted on whether this issue was important to the American Public. It was a hijacking of our government institutions and the ship of state.  No one ever presented a serious alternative.  In the early days of this transition, it was virtually impossible to have a meaningful dialog on the wisdom of this abrupt change in our policies without running the risk of being labeled a traitor to your country. The right wing called all liberals communists and the &#8220;Red Scare&#8221; under McCarthy stifled any chance of debate. Heavy use of guilt was applied to anyone who doubted the value of the new war, the one that got labeled the Cold War. Most Americans were taught that Russia started the Cold War, without ever reading beyond the milk toast information to learn the real truth, that we started the Cold War, as the right-wing fanatics who had been held in check initially under FDR, suddenly now found a place in policy making and a devotee in the form of one Harry Truman: the Cold War was ours and ours alone. Today, a bronze bust  of James Forestall stands at the entrance of the Pentagon and serves as a reminder to those who understand the tragic paranoia that he inserted into our foreign policy about how few people it took to turn the heat up and produce a fifty year Cold War that became so strongly entrenched in our society, that we have had to continue our military hegemony, primarily because we don&#8217;t know how to stop. While we preached that Russia was an expansionist country after the war, Russia was in fact demobilizing&#8211;Stalin had to rebuild a badly broken country.</p>
<p>The essence of this article can be summarized in the following way: once we started the Cold War, we had to generate a new mythology about America and the nature of her adversaries. This new mythology, that we were locked into a titanic struggle with communism, with the very survival of our country and our society at great risk, was brought into our purview in such a way that it had a complete victory over opposing  liberals, even though FDR might well have done things very differently. For example to give Stalin reassurance, FDR promised that Russia would have control over the East European states that he had overrun at the close of the war: Churchill was opposed to this, but FDR acknowledged it as reality.  That promise included control of Poland. But, Churchill&#8217;s dislike of seeing Britain topple before his eyes as a world power, while Russia assumed the mantra of a superpower, allowed him to take advantage of Truman&#8217;s naivete once he assumed office after Roosevelt&#8217;s death. At that point Churchill was able to forge a new alliance with Truman to also aid in formulating the Cold War policy. Less than a year after the end of WW II, <a href="http://www.historyplace.com/speeches/ironcurtain.htm">Churchill gave his famous &#8220;iron curtain&#8221; speech</a> while visiting Truman in Fulton, Missouri.   But once the false narrative took hold through the force of a major propaganda effort, including the era of McCarthyism, that false narrative then produced a huge transition in Presidential power, as we now needed to rely on the President to carry out all those secret operations that we didn&#8217;t want to know anything about. It turns out that the President often didn&#8217;t know much about them sometimes either. The war-like state we put ourselves in demanded war-like powers to be assumed by the President. And, &#8220;Pow,&#8221; we were off to the races. Our style of capitalism was supposedly saved through a hundred thousand episodic assaults on our freedom, our way of government and our way of doing business. The right-wing hardliners that produced this gigantic cultural lurch must have been embarrassed about how easy it was&#8211;it was too easy. Where were the liberals? Thus the black budgets of the CIA and the military meant that we began violating our constitution from the get-go because that document calls for a periodic review by Congress of all government expenditures.  But the false narrative cleared the way for <strong>Folly Compounding</strong> on a scale that can only be appreciated now, as we are finally beginning to drum up the courage to look in the rear view mirror. It is not a pretty picture. Instead of getting a tranquil peace at the end of WW II, we got promised a new form of war of potentially seismic proportions. We lived with a supposed nuclear confrontation for forty years.  We entered into wars that we thought were proxy wars by the Russians, including Korea and Vietnam. Both those wars were unwinnable and notes from Mayo to the Presidents (Truman and Johnson: cites in Perret&#8217;s book) convinced them that if it came to a struggle between the Chinese and the Americans, we could not possibly stand up against their army of millions.  To keep the false narrative alive and <strong>Folly Compounding</strong> moving forward, many naive Presidents who were attracted by the new narrative of America as the world&#8217;s only defender of freedom, committed the country and subsequent Presidencies to military expansion and other wars against evil. So, we had Truman, whose decisions were aided by his use of drugs in the White House (as described by Geoffrey Perret&#8217;s book <em><strong>&#8220;Commander in Chief&#8221;</strong></em>), we had Johnson, whose wild excessive patriotism led him into the Vietnam War, even at the cost of destroying his own ambitious social programs; we had Nixon and Reagan who brought and defended shock capitalism and dictatorships to South American countries and finally the Bush presidents, with GW Bush  putting a frightening validity to Orwell&#8217;s 1984, as he tried to produce a permanent state of war, a war without borders and a war without end, with him as the only &#8220;decider.&#8221; A war against an emotion. Even that part of it seemed highly embarrassing to anyone familiar with the English language.</p>
<p><strong>Reaganism started early. </strong>Ronald Reagan left the Democratic Party because he sensed a communist threat growing within the party and the screen actors guild of which he was the president. He married a staunch Republican in Nancy and joined the Republican Party to become its standard bearer and the birth father of Reaganism. His anti-communist ideology led him into another ideology that would be named after him, without him ever understanding how or why he did it, or what it really was.  For Reagan, Alzheimer&#8217;s was a relief from the excessive toil of looking for the right Rosetta Stone and its associated narrative. He didn&#8217;t really believe in the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Laffer_curve">laffer curve</a> and probably didn&#8217;t understand it, so Alzheimer&#8217;s was his Pepto-Bismol. Yet, all he left behind were supply-siders who believe today that our entire economy is determined by tax policy. How easy was that medication, despite the fact that it has been disproven so many times in so many ways?  But, it remains a narrative for more than half of America.</p>
<p><strong>We moved from an atomic bomb military to an atomic bomb culture to an atomic bomb economy. </strong>With the development and dropping of the atom bomb on Hiroshima and Nagasaki in 1945,  Washington suddenly saw a way, a gift from the scientists, not the military,  to dominate the world. But, the first surrender in the new war needed to come from  the American public, including a surrender of our own constitution and the social fabric we had been weaving under FDR for a more relaxed and contemplative life. This was all accomplished too easily by too few people&#8211;a handful really.</p>
<p><strong>A landslide transition into Folly Compounding. </strong>During this transitional period in which America formed a new world-wide vision of itself, right after WW II, we had to abandon our intuitive grasp of the world as we thought we knew it and get a new version,  a new narrative borrowed and time-stamped from Washington. It would be the first of many. The new world narrative was that Russia, our strong ally during  WW II, and one of the real heroic countries of Frank Capra&#8217;s documentaries in the 1940s,  <strong>&#8220;Why We Fight&#8221; </strong>had become, or more appropriately, always was, an evil monster and our mortal enemy.  According to this new view, our alliance with the Russians during WW II was an aberration, an unexpected interruption from a struggle that had to be renewed. But this time the renewal would be on our terms, for we had the secret weapon and we didn&#8217;t expect that Russia would have something similar for &#8220;forty years.&#8221; This transition all took place in a matter of weeks to months after FDR died and Truman became our Commander-in-Chief: it was a gigantic national lurch, the first in our lifetime of such magnitude. Nothing the young American culture had done before, prepared it for the mother of all lurches.  Yet, the country was subdued and in a state of shock at the time this new initiative was introduced. A horrific World War had just been completed, with 40-60 million lives lost world-wide; Russia had lost perhaps 20 million of its citizens and now Washington was telling us that a new titanic struggle for our very existence had to be undertaken. According to this silly notion, the country that was completely decimated and nearly destroyed by WW II, was now prepared to engage in treacherous acts to enslave the world and over run American capitalism. The American public was so naive about its own government, that this interpretation was accepted in short order and became the social fabric of the country. Under Truman we didn&#8217;t tear down the Pentagon, as FDR had planned, we didn&#8217;t prevent the French from going back to Vietnam, as FDR had promised and we didn&#8217;t make any attempt to understand Russia needed and in fact was entitled to have control over the border states it had conquered during the war, including some countries that had participated with Germany during the invasion of Russia and the battle of Stalingrad. The lurch led by Truman was shocking, but it would not be the last time we would face a new, counter-intuitive narrative; in this case it was much different than the world we had been prepared to live with under the national music created by FDR. The songs of FDR suggested that a tranquil, peaceful world awaited us at the end of a disastrous war. Truman would prove otherwise.</p>
<p>Finally, what is missing in this narrative is the more objective account of the connections that made the Cold War decision right after WW II of such momentous and determinant influence. The details need to be filled in, but the sequences are easily understood. Our lack of a national health care policy, the destruction of the New Deal, the dismantling of our financial checks and balances, the decay of prosperity of the Middle Class and the incessant reliance on war and military solutions to our problems, can all be traced to the decisions made during the early period of the Truman administration, months into FDR&#8217;s fourth term. It might have been a very different world today and we might have had a very different America if FDR had been able to serve out his fourth term in good health and vitality. We can only dream about that other parallel world that might have been.</p>
<p>RFM</p>
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		<title>Three good movies</title>
		<link>http://themillercircle.org/2008/10/three-good-movies/</link>
		<comments>http://themillercircle.org/2008/10/three-good-movies/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 03 Oct 2008 12:23:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Robert Miller</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Entertainment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Film]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[General]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Movies]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://themillercircle.org/?p=685</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[10/3/08 While we are still in the middle of a suspenseful financial meltdown, who doesn&#8217;t need a little escapism from the daily barrage of threats to our economic security? So, against more sensible advice from many quarters, here are three movies that may not qualify as escapist opportunities, but certainly qualify as educational documentaries of [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>10/3/08</p>
<p>While we are still in the middle of a suspenseful financial meltdown, who doesn&#8217;t need a little escapism from the daily barrage of threats to our economic security? So, against more sensible advice from many quarters, here are three movies that may not qualify as escapist opportunities, but certainly qualify  as educational documentaries of some interest, though none are comedies.</p>
<p>The first is <strong>&#8220;The Rape of Europa&#8221; </strong>a documentary recommended to me by Derek, directed by Richard Berge and narrated by Joan Allen. This documentary traces the Nazi theft of European art during their years of military occupation of much of Europe and Russia. I have watched many films related to the Nazis and WW II before, but most of the footage for this documentary was new to me. Hitler was of course an artist, but he was denied entrance into an Austrian art school (which he later pillaged when he marched &#8220;invited&#8221; into Austria); instead of becoming an artist, he became a maniacal, out of millenia,  pagan war lord. But his fascination with art permeated the entire officer corps of the Third Reich, particularly Herman Goering. So the Nazi war machine would pillage art in every country that they invaded and issues related to the proper return of this stolen art are still playing out today. In this documentary, you get to see &#8220;art soldiers&#8221; who were organized by the United States and became embedded with frontline U.S. troops, with the approval of Eisenhower, to look out for the protection of art treasures as the Allies advanced towards Germany. This documentary will give you tears, because it reflects a time when we all thought that we were the good guys: in this documentary, in this period of our history,  we were!<span id="more-685"></span></p>
<p>The second film is <strong>&#8220;Taxi to the Darkside,&#8221;</strong> an HBO documentary, directed by Alex Gibney, which deals with the development of torture as a military technique, created by the Bush administration as a tool to confront terrorism after 9/11. You may not hear anything you haven&#8217;t heard before in this documentary, but when you put it all together in the stunning visuals and comments from the people involved, you realize what a complete disaster we have created with torture as a major mantra of how we conduct our war on &#8220;terror.&#8221;  The last victory of sorts on this issue was achieved by none other than GW Bush, who was able to have Congress pass legislation that not only exhonerated him and his cronies for past violations of the Geneva Convention on torture, but gave Bush the license to decide how the Geneva Convention agreements should be interpreted&#8211;so he decides whether water boarding is torture according to the Geneva accord. When it comes to torture, Bush is the &#8220;decider.&#8221; This documentary leaves no doubt in your mind that torture doesn&#8217;t work, but GW and Cheney have now created a legacy of torture such that it will be hard for us to eliminate this as policy. Can you imagine the next terrorist attack during a Democratic administration, where the Republicans can charge that the Democratic leader  failed to use waterboarding which otherwise would have spared us from attack? Cheney still insists that torture works, but there is no evidence produced in this documentary that truthful information was extracted from any high-level detainee. They talk, but they tell their interrogators things they think will sell and relieve them from the horrors of that form of torture. It was torture that gave Powell the information that Hussein was providing al-Qaeda with training and equipment, which he revealed at his famous appearance at the U.N., only later to say it was the most embarrassing moment of his life. That torture-extracted information was never checked  through another source for accuracy, primarily because Bush and Cheney were looking for any excuse to go to war.</p>
<p>The third film is <strong>&#8220;Meeting Resistance&#8221; </strong>a documentary by reporters Molly Bingham and Steve Connors, who created this film from their own experience as reporters and photographers,  while embedded  among Iraqi citizens before the war broke out and continued in that fashion during the development of the insurgency. so they spoke directly to those that started and sustained the insurgency. More than anything else, this documentary paints a picture of an insurgency that was truly home grown.  The documentary is based on  interviews  before and after the war began, and the photographer made sure to blur the facial images to protect those interviewed, who would otherwise be targeted.    In some ways, this is the most remarkable of the three films because it came from direct contact with Iraqis during the critical period in which the motivation for the insurrection morphed into widespread violence. Watching this film, you realize that none of the stories you were told about the war could be supported by the Iraqis interviewed for this documentary. The war did not start with pissed off Bathists or Republican guards, or, as Rumsfeld said, &#8220;deadenders.&#8221; Instead you realize that the insurgency began as a local effort to rid the country of foreign invaders. The resistors first formed into small groups of mostly Sunnis, beginning with a handful of people.  They had little money, but bought their own weapons through taxation of their paychecks&#8211;1/3 for the cause, 1/3 for the family and 1/3 for the individual. Their initial targets were U.S. soldiers and vehicles as they paraded through Baghdad. As they gained in confidence and skill with weapons of increasing sophistication, they began to target tanks. But they discovered that their attacks on tanks could lead to civilian deaths because not all civilians seemed to get the message that they should not follow close to American military vehicles. For that reason, they switched to attacking military bases, but also learned that the U.S. military would open fire indiscriminately on civilians, when their bases were attacked,  so they abandoned that approach in favor or IEDs (roadside bombs)  which they detonated by remote control, thus reducing the risk of civilian casualties. The documentary also shows interviews with an Iraqi professor who studied the sociology of the resistance and his studies confirm that the resistance was created first in local neighborhoods and from those nests, the numbers grew and grew until the groups attracted the attention of outside supporters. But, their movement is guided by a religious zeal and love of country for an independent Iraq&#8211;they are driven by nationalism. This documentary also makes it clear that even though many of the insurgents despised Saddam Hussein, they were appalled that a national leader would be treated in such a humiliating manner through his capture, trial and execution. Those events helped in their recruiting efforts.</p>
<p>You cannot watch this movie without realizing that if the entire resistance movement in Iraq is made up of these small cells, sort of like the conditions that the French found themselves while occupying  Algeria, then the period we are in right now, the surge that seems to be  of a comparative lull, will be followed by renewed civil war against the government of al-Maliki, if he is still around, once we depart. His government is viewed as a puppet government and an illegitimate representative of Iraqi citizens.  The documentary reveals one poignant moment when a young revolutionary left to join the insurrection in its early history. As he departed his family, his mother hugged him and told him she didn&#8217;t want him to come back alive, but wanted him instead to become a martyr for the cause, thus exalting the honor of the family.  Do you think for a moment we are going to defeat those who express that kind of commitment? Does that remind you of anything you heard about Vietnam? When are we going to awake to the fact, that when it comes to wars of nationalism, the kind we have become experts in producing, the very kind we cannot win!</p>
<p>All of these movies are available on Netflix and I am sure many of you have seen some or all of them already. I am always a little late catching up to good relevant movies. If any are new to you, then enjoy!<!--more--></p>
<p>RFM</p>
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		<title>It&#8217;s déjà vu all over again</title>
		<link>http://themillercircle.org/2008/06/its-deja-vu-all-over-again/</link>
		<comments>http://themillercircle.org/2008/06/its-deja-vu-all-over-again/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 20 Jun 2008 11:28:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Robert Miller</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Books]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://TheMillerCircle.org/?p=233</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In Alan Greenspan&#8217;s memoirs, published last year, he stung the Bush White House with his phrase “I am saddened that it is politically inconvenient to acknowledge what everyone knows: the Iraq war is largely about oil.” He repeated this comment many times and in doing so presented the counter view to all the reasons that [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In Alan Greenspan&#8217;s memoirs, published last  year,  he <a href="“I am saddened that it is politically inconvenient to acknowledge what everyone knows: the Iraq war is largely about oil,” ">stung the Bush White House </a> with his phrase   “I am saddened that it is politically inconvenient to acknowledge what everyone knows: the Iraq war is largely about oil.” He repeated this comment many times and in doing so presented the counter view to all the reasons that Bush and Cheney had used to hype us into the war. But the new oil contracts that will be given to Royal Dutch Shell, BP, Exxon Mobil and Total have confirmed that Greenspan was right all along. Even if you believe that Saddam Hussein had WMDs, you surely would acknowledge that Bush and Cheney would never have invaded Iraq if the country didn&#8217;t have oil and lots of it.  You might recall that Rumsfeld was content to let the entire country be raped and pillaged, including Iraq&#8217;s precious museums, while he insured that the Oil Ministry was immediately surrounded and heavily guarded (one of Iraq&#8217;s precious museums is now under blacktop for a US military base). It was about the only thing that the invasionary force targeted for protection.</p>
<p>Four decades after Saddam Hussein nationalized Iraq&#8217;s oil supply and kicked out the oil giants that had taken control of Iraq&#8217;s oil after the collapse of the Ottoman Empire at the end of WW I, the same group will be returning. As Yogi Berra said, &quot;It&#8217;s déjà vu all over again.&quot; And, their presence  will require protection, something that is likely to tie up US troops for many years to come. Perhaps this is the Bush/Cheney good bye present to the USA.  Who said imperialism is dead?  Iraq&#8217;s oil fields are believed to contain the second largest oil reserves in the Middle East. Only the Saudis have more reserves. But those oil fields have been under constraints by UN sanctions and Iraq&#8217;s infrastructure for oil production  has been seriously eroded. Thus, the initial no-bid contracts will be for the southern oil fields and are primarily for improving the oil production capability.  Yet, ordinarily such contracts would be given to smaller, specialized companies for this purpose.  The Iraqi National Oil Company (Inoc) is too corrupt and inefficient to accomplish these improvements on their own but Iraq&#8217;s oil minister, Hussein Shahristani, claims that, with these no-bid contracts, <a href="http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/middle-east/oil-giants-return-to-iraq-851036.html">Iraq is not surrendering sovereignty</a> over her oil and the lifeblood of her future. After all, we have made sure that the entire country needs to be rebuilt. This contract will presumably lead to an immediate increase in oil production of about 500,000 barrels a day, adding to Iraq&#8217;s current oil production of about 2.5 million barrels/day. Although these initial contracts are only for two years, the Western recipients are assuming that this will given them leverage for future long-term contracts and profitability.<span id="more-233"></span></p>
<p>When Iraq was controlled by the Ottoman Empire, The Turkish Petroleum Company had control of its oil production. With the collapse of the Ottoman Empire at the close of WW I, the Iraq Petroleum Company replaced the Turkish version and in the 1920s an arrangement was formalized so that four Western companies controlled all of Iraq&#8217;s oil. Although the Germans once had part of the Iraq Petroleum Company when it was first formed by concessions from Turkey, the French displaced the Germans and Compagnie Francaise des Petroles, now Total, became one of the big four in the new oil consortium. Since the Ottoman Empire had thrown in its lot with Germany and Austria during WW I, the Paris peace agreement that settled WW I claims treated Iraq as a successor state, allowing the Western powers to assume control of the region. This cozy arrangement existed more or less intact until   Saddam Hussein nationalized the country&#8217;s oil companies in 1972; it remains as one of the few popular acts of his long, harsh rule of the country. So, at least some of the Iraq government components are insistent that Iraq sovereignty has not been surrendered and that the current contractual arrangements are essentially an open admission of their own corrupt, incompetent oil ministry (did we purposely help make it that way?).</p>
<p>We may never understand how all the forces that led to our invasion of Iraq interplayed to generate &quot;Mission Accomplished.&quot; This is because they interplayed in the minds of a small group of people and only Bush and Cheney were the ones that pulled the trigger. Maybe they don&#8217;t even know. After all, the ruling elite of America, including the entire press, wanted this war. So when Bush talks to the Military he tells them about WMD and Hussein&#8217;s complicity for 9/11. But, at a cocktail party with the oil executives, &quot;Mission Accomplished&quot; is discussed as an economic, oil access issue, where he is surely still considered to be a hero. One issue seems inescapable: it is quite likely that Haliburton, the company that Dick Cheney steered as the CEO from1995-2000 and ran into the ground, might well have gone bankrupt if he had not fed them the many bones of no-bid contracts once the invasion was underway. They are still in Iraq, still overcharging for their work, as one of the new American companies that profits from war. Haliburton is among the new profiteers of modern warfare: their stock goes up when war is threatened. Look into our future: no small part of our economy is tied up with military-industrial production and now add Homeland security companies that are flourishing. As these sectors grow, an increasing number of American companies will be positioned to have their stocks skyrocket with the threat of war or an act of invasion. Those are powerful forces. Let&#8217;s face it, if you drain the nation&#8217;s coiffures, but enhance the profits of corporate giants, haven&#8217;t you,  as a modern Republican, done a good job. Yes, thousands of young American soldiers lost their lives, but they are in the wrong class for the Bush/Cheney team to be concerned about them. &quot;Let them have their <em><strong>&quot;Body of War&quot;</strong> </em> movies and talk of impeachment, but we have the real power in America&#8211;we have control of the press.&quot; That is why impeachment is essential. On June 10 <a href="http://kucinich.house.gov/News/DocumentSingle.aspx?DocumentID=93581">Dennis Kucinich</a> read 35 articles of impeachment into the congressional record and they have now been sent to the Judiciary Committee for evaluation. Do you remember hearing about this historic event in any of the news outlets to which you regularly attune? I did not see the event even mentioned on mainstream media. It was the blogshpere that brought it to my attention. The good in America wants to produce a new economy based on greening the World, improving health, but going into emergency mode to save the planet (in case you haven&#8217;t heard, the computer models that have been running since the early 1990s that we rely on to make projections about the future of the planet have all <span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong>underestimated</strong> </span> the subsequent, measured changes that have taken place in the last 15 years. More glaciers have evaporated and the Greenland Ice pack will disappear far in advance of all model predictions. So the real question is not whether the models are right or wrong, but whether in fact, they are underestimating the rate of change that global warming will produce).</p>
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		<title>The National Conference for Media Reform Meeting 2008</title>
		<link>http://themillercircle.org/2008/06/the-national-conference-for-media-reform-meeting-2008/</link>
		<comments>http://themillercircle.org/2008/06/the-national-conference-for-media-reform-meeting-2008/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 19 Jun 2008 10:22:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Robert Miller</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[Over the weekend of June 6-8, 2008 the National Conference for Media Reform (NCMR) was held at the Minneapolis Convention center in downtown Minneapolis. This is a group that is committed to media reform and has an organizational scheme to recover our once &#34;free press&#34; as an institution of objective journalism. This was the fourth [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Over the weekend of June 6-8, 2008 the <a href="http://www.freepress.net/conference">National Conference for Media Reform</a> (NCMR) was held at the Minneapolis Convention center in downtown Minneapolis. This is a group that is committed to media reform and has an organizational scheme to recover our once &quot;free press&quot; as an institution of objective journalism. This was the fourth annual meeting organized by <a href="http://www.freepress.net">FreePress.net</a> and was attended by about 3500 people from many walks of life, but mostly by those associated with some aspect of journalism or activism. FreePress itself is a relatively new organization, but has had impressive leadership during its short existence. The emphasis for this movement has come about during the GW Bush presidency and is directed towards reshaping American political journalism and especially broadcast journalism which has gotten off the beaten path as almost everyone can attest. In general, this is a  very progressive liberal movement. But, as Arianna Huffington emphasized,  &quot;we are not the left, we are mainstream. Every major issue we are emphasizing about the war, our health care system and the direction our country is going is supported by 60-80% of Americans.&quot; <span id="more-230"></span><br />
The meeting was highlighted/dominated by celebrities in these causes, including John Nichols from <em><strong>The Nation</strong> </em> , Naomi Klein (author of <em><strong>&quot;The Shock Doctrine&quot;</strong> </em> ), Amy Goodman (<strong>Democracy Now</strong> ), Phil Donahue, Bill Moyers, Robert Greenwald, Robert Mcchesney (founder of Free Press), Arianna Huffington, Tim Wu (current leader of Free Press) and many others. No, Tim Russert was not there. The single most impressive person was, in my opinion,  <a href="http://lessig.org/">Lawrence Lessig</a> who thinks deeply about the impact of the internet and the regulatory laws that are designed to limit its expression of freedom. And my favorite talk was given by Senator Byron Dorgan from North Dakota. He is and will be the Senator that submits legislation, hopefully this year (it is currently in committee) that will guarantee a free and open internet (&quot;the Internet Neutrality Act&quot;). He describes the bill on <a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-pJ4ncOlWG4">YouTube</a> and you can see his speech on the FreePress website.  In case you don&#8217;t know about him, he is the first to arrive and the last to leave the Senate office building. He is an effective and tireless leader against the corruption in our government today.</p>
<p>Four major themes of this meeting united most of  those in attendance and the proposed solutions largely center around implementing regulatory reform, and reducing corporate control, including i) changing the broadcasting regulations so that the corporate news media are held accountable for the content of their programs; ii) keep the internet free from corporate intrusions; iii) restrict corporate ownership of mass media so that more independent news organizations can be revived and iv) through activist demands, force the major news media to cover issues such as the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan and global warming.  The meeting was also attended by the two current members of the FCC who are in the Democratic column, Johnathan Adelstein and Michael  Copps, who will be the new FCC chairman if Obama is elected President. He talked about immediate reforms he plans to put into place, including a return to a three year review of broadcast licensing (it is now 8 years and virtually automatic) with a more strict enforcement of the old standard that broadcast licenses are given to serve a public function and need to uphold those values. He talked about probationary status if these changes are not adhered to and the prospect of losing a broadcasting license if things don&#8217;t change. It would be a very enjoyable outcome to see Fox lose their broadcasting license. Is that why Rupert Murdoch says he supports Obama?</p>
<p>The quality of this meeting was extremely high and most of the speakers were excellent and inspiring to those in attendance. In going to the meeting, I expected to see the attendance biased towards those with gray hair like me. But, in fact, as I surveyed the crowd, there were many young people in attendance and many middle aged adults. You came to appreciate it, if it wasn&#8217;t immediately obvious, that quality journalists are being terminated from major papers and news media in favor of softer journalism of the type that supports the current administration and blurs the line between pop culture and journalistic standards.  Let&#8217;s face it, we have national news system that serves as apologists for the Republican Party and its policies. Until that changes, there is little chance that news can ever be educational. Where have you heard that Iraq is now so unsafe that journalists do not go outside of the Green Zone?</p>
<p>Bill Moyers gave an excellent speech on the freedom of the press and the current reform movement. He is truly the guru of the free press movement. You also came to appreciate that if we didn&#8217;t have PBS, we would not have any access to accurate reporting, except for what we get through the internet and C-Span. But, as Moyers pointed out, PBS, due to political pressure, has decided time and again not to produce or air things that are too controversial and they frequently program apology news for events such as 9/11. Dan Rather gave a good talk and admitted the complicity of the major news media in hyping the buildup to the war. He has his own program and has repented from his past sins.</p>
<p>Phil Donahue showed his riveting film &quot;<em><strong>A Body of War&quot;</strong> </em> a story of a young US solider (Thomas Young) wounded and paralyzed in Iraq, who joined the <a href="http://ivaw.org/wintersoldier">Winter Soldier movement</a> as a fierce critic of the war and our sitting president. The last scene in the movie, when the young soldier meets with Senator Robert Byrd, who led the fight against the declaration of war for invading Iraq (bet you never saw his speeches on TV&#8211;they were fabulous), and Byrd takes down a large plaque from his office wall, as his own greatest political challenge to the government and reading from the plaque, Byrd and Young read the names of the senators who voted against the war, after which they get up and walk side by side down the senate office building hall as they discuss their daily problems, having clearly formed a common bond. Try viewing that scene without tearing. Donahue was unable to sell his movie to any distribution system, but finally  Landmark films stepped in and will show it in their theaters. So if you want to see a riveting film about the lives of our soldiers that we send to an illegal war, go see that one. It probably won&#8217;t stay long in any theater, but it was masterfully filmed and covers nearly three years of a soldier&#8217;s post-injury life and his activities as an antiwar Winter Soldier.  I noticed and commented on the fact that when the credits to this movie were given, Donahue  cited the figure of Iraqi citizen deaths at more than 1 million which reflects the best estimate available from the cluster survey and analysis reported in <strong><em>The Lancet</em> </strong> a few years ago. That is the first time I have seen these more accurate figures be cited in any theater experience.</p>
<p>There was an opportunity to hear from Phil Donahue about his firing from MSNBC just as the Iraq invasion build-up was underway. He had the top-rated program on MSNBC, but he was fired because he was too liberal and a threat to the morale of the invasionary hype. But, before he was he fired, he had to have two conservatives on his show for every liberal, and, as prescribed by MSNBC, he had to count himself as already having two liberals on the show if no one else showed up.  So, I guess by the math done at MSNBC, adding one liberal to his program meant a total of three, so having two conservatives to one liberal as guests, still meant that the liberals outnumbered the conservatives or neoconservatives. Does that give you some indication about the corruption and distortion of our television programming?</p>
<p>All of us can participate in helping the free press movement. If you go to the <a href="http://www.freepress.net/">Free Press</a> website, you can sign up for news alerts and other information. I would urge you to watch the video of Senator Dorgan&#8217;s speech and also that of Bill Moyers. When the news alerts come out, respond by signing the letters/emails that will be sent to your congressional leaders. It was that influx of demands (1.5 million) that forced the Senate to rescind the recent FCC ruling to give more expansionary communication acquisitions to newspapers, further enhancing giant corporate control over our news. Write-ins work! We just need more of them and they need to get bigger and bigger in volume. If I was disappointed about anything with the meeting, it was the complete lack of any attention given to the other dimension of this information suppression, which is the administration&#8217;s suppression of science information and their purge of scientists through the elimination of their funding. That is not just destructive, it is destroying our future.</p>
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		<title>Jesus Camp and Ted Haggard</title>
		<link>http://themillercircle.org/2008/01/jesus-camp-and-ted-haggard/</link>
		<comments>http://themillercircle.org/2008/01/jesus-camp-and-ted-haggard/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 21 Jan 2008 04:55:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Robert Miller</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://TheMillerCircle.org/2008/01/jesus-camp-and-ted-haggard/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In the documentary film &#8220;Jesus Camp&#8221; by Heidi Ewing and Rachel Grady, one sees an alarming side of radical Christian fundamentalism. Children, at very young ages (below 13 and preferably between 7 and 9), are taken to evangelical summer camps (the documentary shows a camp in North Dakota) where they are exposed to an intense [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In the documentary film &#8220;<a href="http://www.jesuscampthemovie.com/">Jesus Camp</a>&#8221; by Heidi Ewing and Rachel Grady, one sees an alarming   side of radical Christian fundamentalism. Children, at very young ages (below 13 and preferably between 7 and 9), are taken to evangelical summer camps (the documentary shows a camp in North Dakota) where they are exposed to an intense form of indoctrination to ward off society&#8217;s evil secular influence and produce young people better prepared to live a life committed to Christ and the word of God, as given to us from the Bible, but strictly interpreted by the evangelicals: it is a Christian <font class="subtitle">madrassa.  &#8220;</font>  <a href="http://movies.nytimes.com/movie/342517/Jesus-Camp/overview">&#8220;Extreme liberals who look at this should be quaking in their boots,” declares Pastor Becky Fischer with jovial satisfaction in the riveting documentary</a>.&#8221; I would say any Democrat or any other Christian would be concerned about the kind of indoctrination you see in these camps, aimed at producing &#8220;God&#8217;s Army&#8221; for the future takeover of America. It is alarming if for no other reason than the fact that they idolize G.W. Bush as a president who is out to fulfill their destiny to make the United States a nation living under the evangelical banner. A super life-sized cardboard image of GW is presented, prayed to and thanked for bringing their quest into a form of political reality.  Special inspirational sessions are given on the pure evil of abortion and the children get introduced to other true evils of the world, which is just about everything else not emphasized in the camp. It is an inoculation program to protect the Jesus Camp children from falling victim to the devil that is trying to consume the world.<span id="more-179"></span></p>
<p>This was all taking place during the confirmation hearing of Supreme Court Justice Alito Jr., whose confirmation was hailed as another step towards total victory for God&#8217;s army. Strict social and learning customs are enforced and most contemporary issues are considered evil. For example, Harry Potter is a taboo, as he would have been stoned to death in the days of the old testament for promoting belief in warlords. Creationism is emphasized while science is downgraded. These camps look for and promote those young kids who may have special talents for becoming evangelical preachers and one such young boy is identified. Several young kids get to speak and act out inspirational preaching. When you realize that most of these kids also get home schooling to further promote their religious zealotry, and the fact that evangelicals claim to have 30 million members, you can appreciate how <a href="http://www.physorg.com/news11504.html">polling data</a> consistently shows that the majority of Americans believe that God created the universe and that creationism or intelligent design should be taught alongside evolution in science classes. International polls have revealed that Americans finished second to last among Western nations for identifying evolution as an established principal. I couldn&#8217;t help but get a kick out of the special prayers that were offered to God by Pastor Fischer, just before the camp began, imploring him to keep the lights on for the entire camp, only to see the lights go out during an electrical storm, which brought out the mischievous little kids with their flashlights.</p>
<p>At the end of the documentary, we get to see the now  infamous Ted Haggard, who was then the leader of the National Association of Evangelicals. The documentary takes place before Haggard was defrocked for homosexuality and drugs, which took place after the release of the film (2006).   In the documentary, we see Haggard preaching in Colorado Springs (a city that has the largest number of evagelical mega churches in the country) and it was emphasized that he was conversing on a weekly basis with GW and Cheney (once suspects that those conversations have ceased). Haggard appears in the movie as taunting and hostile towards the filmmakers, so it was more than a little gratifying to see him go through his self-inflicted humiliation. Haggard is now in &#8220;recovery&#8221; at the same Phoenix center that helped Jim Bakker get over his dilemma. But Haggard reminds us of something that will be with us for a long time to come when he said that if the evangelicals come out to vote, they will swing any election. So, right away, we have to imagine that Huckabee has 30 million votes waiting for him should he get the nomination. What is it that we are witnessing in these camps and through the eyes of evangelicals? Are these the yellow canaries in the mine hole of America&#8217;s future? Is it economical? Most of these evangelicals are in the heartland and many have southern lifestyles. Mid-Missouri was the site of the non-camp experiences, in regions where signs dot the roadsides promoting faith and Jesus.  Have these people always been there and we see them now because they have learned how to organize into an effective political voting block? The fact that international polls show Americans declining in their appreciation of science over the past 20 plus years speaks to something other than just organizing a group of people that were always there, but muted. Their views are becoming more mainstream and they have a president to prove it.</p>
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		<title>Charlie Wilson&#8217;s War: history or hoax?</title>
		<link>http://themillercircle.org/2008/01/charlie-wilsons-war-history-or-hoax/</link>
		<comments>http://themillercircle.org/2008/01/charlie-wilsons-war-history-or-hoax/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 15 Jan 2008 05:21:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Robert Miller</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[How true to a book does a movie have to be? Whatever the artistic drive that motivates a director or producer to make a movie, the end result for a commercial film is to excite the audience sufficiently to stimulate a large volume of attendance and turn a profit. After all, this is the entertainment [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>How true to a book does a movie have to be? Whatever the artistic drive that motivates a director or producer to make a movie, the end result for a commercial film is to excite the audience sufficiently to stimulate a large volume of attendance and turn a profit. After all, this is the entertainment industry and investments demand return. So, I never assume that a movie will follow the book or novel on which it was based with any significant fidelity, unless the author writes the screenplay and even then the director usually has sufficient artistic latitude  that major changes from the original work will more than likely take place. But when the movie has the same title as the novel or other material on which it was based, one assumes that a closer adherence to the original work is the intention of the director:in this case the profit motive is based on the idea that the book was so popular, or the story so riveting, that putting its exact title into the movie will generate revenue based on adherence to the original story. So the &#8220;Great Gatsby&#8221; with Robert Redford tried to cash in on the populatiry of F. Scott Fitzgerald&#8217;s most famous novel. Some of Hemingway&#8217;s novels, such as &#8220;For Whom the Bell Tolls,&#8221; &#8220;A Farewell to Arms&#8221; or &#8220;The Old Man and the Sea&#8221; adhered with at least recognizable fidelity to the original novel. The same can be said for some of Graham Greene&#8217;s novels that were made it into movies, such as the classic &#8220;The Third Man&#8221; (1949): Greene was often the screenwriter for his own work in which he teamed with director Carol Reed. Others such as Joseph Heller&#8217;s &#8220;Catch 22&#8243; (1970), a tough choice for a movie, had recognizable scenes and story continuity with the original novel: a brilliant novel, a slightly less than brilliant movie but a highly entertaining one, directed by Mike Nichols (who, after the Graduate (1967), was the darling of Hollywood).</p>
<p><span id="more-178"></span><br />
When &#8220;Charlie Wilson&#8217;s War&#8221; was released as a movie a few weeks ago, I was initially very excited to see it. The original book of the same title was written by George Crile, a former CBS &#8220;60 Minutes&#8221; producer and journalist who died last year at age 61. Crile&#8217;s book, published in 2003, eulogizes the story of a little known Texas congressman, Charlie Wilson, who teamed with the CIA to fund and supply Islamic fundamentalists in their efforts against the Russians after their invasion of Afghanistan. It was the last conflict of the Cold War and the largest covert operation that the CIA ever undertook. Until 9/11, the CIA considered this operation to be its most successful of all time. And, like so many activities of the CIA, this covert war was never revealed to the American Public. But after 9/11, people began putting together the facts of our Afghanistan activities and it is now apparent that 9/11 was a &#8220;blowback,&#8221; a CIA-derived term that is meant to convey an unintended consequence of the CIA&#8217;s actions. Just as the Islamic revolution in Iran in 1979 was a blowback for our coup against the democratically elected Mohammad Mosaddeq in 1954 (installing the Shah Pahlavi who brutally suppressed his opposition), 9/11 was a blowback from the fundamentalists we helped organize in Afghanistan to turn back the Russian invasion. But the truth is, we armed the mujahideen of Afghanistan BEFORE the Russian invasion to stimulate their entry into a war we hoped would be their Vietnam.  The very Islamic rebels that we funded through the CIA turned against us and generated the attack of 9/11, as our efforts in the Gulf region became more aggressive and militaristic (Gulf War I and occupation of holy sites in Saudi Arabia). The story itself has great mystery and intrigue: how is it possible that such a large operation could be generated by a single naive congressman from Texas, who loved pretty women and was a serious alcoholic? Actor Tom Hanks bought the rights to the movie and teamed with director Mike Nichols to make it. Since it had the same name as the book, I assumed it would be true to the story of this event, the origin of the CIA&#8217;s most famous (infamous) blowback. But of course, this entire period of covert operations was not carried out by Charlie Wilson operating in collusion with a rogue CIA agent. Official approval for and stimulation of this approach came from the administrations of Carter and Ronald Reagan and the CIA director William Casey. It was Casey whose religious zeal tried to create an Islamic Jihad that he hoped would penetrate the Soviets and more than undermine their invasion of Afghanistan: he wanted to create, stimulate and support an Islamic Jihad that would go deep into Russia further eroding their grasp of empire.<br />
The book and the movie paint the impression that the Russian invasion had created large numbers of Afghan refugees and that Charlie Wilson, stimulated by his powerful socialite friend, Joanne Herring, provided the Afghan rebels with sufficient armaments, including stinger missiles, which could knock Russian helicopters out of the sky as one of several powerful devices which eventually helped to repel the Russians. The purported motivation for Wilson and Herring was to save the Afghan refugees from the terrible conditions inflicted on them by the Soviet invasion. A few years later, the jubilant William Casey, then director of the CIA, could boast that his inspired efforts were responsible for creating a stunning victory for America and Ronald Reagan agreed.<br />
But, if you are really interested in what happened in Afghanistan, the book to read is not Crile&#8217;s &#8220;Charlie Wilson&#8217;s War,&#8221; but Steve Coll&#8217;s book &#8220;Ghost Wars: The Secret History of the CIA, Afghanistan,And Bin Laden, from the Soviet Invasion to September 10,2001.&#8221; In Coll&#8217;s book you learn that the force behind Charlie Wilson was non other than CIA director William Casey with full support from his boss, Ronald Reagan: the &#8220;Catholic Knight of Malta educated by Jesuits&#8221; wanted Catholicism to invade Russia, but if that didn&#8217;t work, the next best thing was to invade the Soviet Union with an Islamic Jihad beginning in Afghanistan. He had the Koran translated into Uzbek as part of his holy war invasion.  In the process, he armed the most extreme rebels of Afghanistan, who were even then very anti-American, and would later become the Taliban and create a home home for Bin Laden. Chalmers Johnson, in a brief review of the movie has referred to it as &#8220;a top candidate for the most politically bizarre, consciously dumb film of our era.&#8221; In the real world of the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan, we not only precipitated the invasion, but Reagan and Casey had their finger prints all over the effort, yet they are not evident in any way in the movie: Casey doesn&#8217;t even exist in the Mike Nichols film, as if he had been rubbed out with a magic eraser.<br />
Both Charlie Wilson and convicted felon Randy &#8220;Duke&#8221; Cunningham had equivalent positions on the House Defense Appropriations Subcommittee, as well as the Intelligence Oversight Committee. Cunningham was too stupid to learn how to play the game and wound up in a Federal prison for fraud, but Wilson massaged the system, as good congressman are likely to do,  to eventually become a lobbyist for Pakistan at $360,000 per annum. For his efforts, Wilson received the only &#8220;honored citizen&#8221; award ever given by the CIA to an outsider.<br />
When Crile&#8217;s book first appeared in 2003, it was reviewed by <a href="http://www.tomdispatch.com/post/174877/chalmers_johnson_an_imperialist_comedy">Chalmers Johnson</a> and among the points he raised about the book were the following: &#8220;However, he never once mentions that the &#8216;tens of thousands of fanatical Muslim fundamentalists&#8217; the CIA armed are the same people who in 1996 killed nineteen American airmen at Dhahran, Saudi Arabia, bombed our embassies in Kenya and Tanzania in 1998, blew a hole in the side of the U.S.S. Cole in Aden Harbor in 2000, and on September 11, 2001, flew hijacked airliners into New York&#8217;s World Trade Center and the Pentagon.&#8221;<br />
Johnson makes the additional point that for the CIA to begin a covert action, the President must sign off on it. In Crile&#8217;s book, he tries to assert that Carter signed off on the CIA&#8217;s effort to support the mujahideen AFTER the Soviet invasion, but the fact is that Carter signed off on their support BEFORE the invasion, as recommended by his national security advisor Zbigniew Brzezinski (admitted to by both Brzesinzki and Gates). The whole purpose of support for the mujahideen was to CREATE a Russian invasion in order to give the Soviets their own version of Vietnam, a kind of &#8220;rope-a-dope&#8221; strategy, which, until 9/11, they claimed had worked to perfection. Indeed, they boasted that this was their most successful enterprise. It might interest Charlie Wilson, who makes an appearance on the advertising flier for the movie, that he and his socialite activist were the dupes of the plan, not the creators of it. The only hint that Wilson and Crile recognized the true nature of their mission was in a single statement in the &#8220;epilogue&#8221; added late in the publication process, where Wilson says &#8220;These things happened. They were glorious and they changed the world. And the people who deserved the credit are the ones who made the sacrifice. And then we fucked up the endgame.&#8221; That&#8217;s about all the recognition that you will get out of what really happened and how we generated the support that led to 9/11, the biggest blowback in our history. As Johnson has said : &#8220;The Central Intelligence Agency has an almost unblemished record of screwing up every &#8216;secret&#8217; armed intervention it ever undertook. From the overthrow of the Iranian government in 1953 through the rape of Guatemala in 1954, the Bay of Pigs, the failed attempts to assassinate Fidel Castro of Cuba and Patrice Lumumba of the Congo, the Phoenix Program in Vietnam, the &#8216;secret war&#8217; in Laos, aid to the Greek Colonels who seized power in 1967, the 1973 killing of President Allende in Chile, and Ronald Reagan&#8217;s Iran-Contra war against Nicaragua, there is not a single instance in which the Agency&#8217;s activities did not prove acutely embarrassing to the United States and devastating to the people being &#8216;liberated.&#8217; The CIA continues to get away with this bungling primarily because its budget and operations have always been secret and Congress is normally too indifferent to its Constitutional functions to rein in a rogue bureaucracy.&#8221; The tale of a purported success story, such as that portrayed in Charlie Wilson&#8217;s War is anything but.<br />
To accept the movie or Crile&#8217;s book as history, you have to deny the true history of the events and assume that 9/11 was executed for the reasons that G.W. Bush and Rudy Giuliani say it was: because the terrorists are envious of our democracy.  But, the real tragedy behind our efforts in Afghanistan resides in the fact, that under the Afghan communists, before we started to infuse arms into the mujahideen rebels, public life for its citizens included more freedom for women, higher educational levels and government services as well as better relations among diverse ethnic groups. These components of the Afghan culture were all infinitely better than they were under the Taliban or today under the defragmented government that continues to stress the culture by allowing the creation of a huge narco-state that is bringing in another form of blowback to the U.S.: cheaper street drugs.</p>
<p>So, perhaps the movie comes close to the book, but the book itself made a comedy of what really took place and made a hero out of a dupe. The story is reminiscent of the mythology we tell our kindergarten kids about Abraham Lincoln and George Washington: pure fantasy. There is perhaps one truism to the movie: by painting our hero Charlie Wilson as a bumbling, alcoholic misfit, we are aptly describing the activities of our CIA as a rogue agency that can&#8217;t do anything well because it has  tunnel vision and an over abundance of Republicanism in which longitudinal vision is not impossible, but strongly discouraged. If you are a CIA agent, you don&#8217;t advance your career by reminding your superiors about the long term consequences of a new plan they are hatching.</p>
<p>When we screw things up, we do it better than just about anybody.</p>
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