The jobless recovery, or interpreting the fossil record of our future
Earlier this week Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke spoke to the Economic Club of New York and described how we are likely to face years of high unemployment in what can only be described as a chronic jobless recovery. The signs of a jobless recovery are all around us. The unemployment rate has declined, but not by any means disappeared and companies are finding ways to do what they did in response to the recession of 2001–get by with fewer employees, ask those employed to work more hours and ship jobs overseas where employment costs are significantly reduced. While some firms are beginning to hire back American employees, others are implementing these alternative strategies to insure a jobless recovery, despite the fact that productivity is now soaring and hiring would normally follow this development. As Bernanke described it “other firms, facing difficult financial conditions and intense pressure to cut costs, seem to have found longer-lasting, efficiency-enhancing changes that allowed them to reduce their workforces. … ” The huge debt that we now face as a country, thanks to two costly wars and excessive tax cuts to the wealthy by the Bush administration have left Congress in a mood of uncertainty, even though the rational thing to do is pass a jobs bill, a second stimulus bill that will help recreate an economy that works for the middle class. Those who argue that we would be putting an additional debt burden onto our children and their children don’t understand what we went through after WW II, when our debt was high and yet we created jobs and a booming economy. Isn’t it better to have your children enjoy good employment opportunities, even if a higher rate of taxation will be required of them? Is it truly better to have a chronically unemployed work force? And, oh yes, what would the job prospects be if we adopted a single payer health care plan and shifted the costs of health care away from employment to a national system, best described as “Medicare for all?”
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